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Job market: Who lasts longer, Prime Minister Abhisit or President Saakashvili?

Background: On April 8, 2009, an estimated 100,000 protestors gathered in Bangkok, Thailand, to demand the resignations of Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva and a key advisor to King Bhumibol Adulyadej. The protestors were supporters of former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra, who was overthrown in a 2006 military coup.

Meanwhile, Georgian protestors demanded the resignation of President Mikheil Saakashvili on April 9, 2009, in Tbilisi. Opposition speakers have denounced Saakashvili as a tyrant and said that he mishandled the recent war with Russia. Crowd estimates range from no more than 25,000 to more than 100,000.

Neither the Georgian or Thai governments have used violence to end the protests.

This question asks who will remain in their current job longer.

Additional information:
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/10/world/europe/10georgia.html?_r=1
http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-fg-thailand-protests9-2009apr09,0,147336.story

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Mikheil Saakashvili
43%
Abhisit Vejjajiva
57%
Question suspends in 3 years

Suspend date: Sun 20th Jan 2013 9am PST (3 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Mikheil Saakashvili: 50%, Abhisit Vejjajiva: 50%

Action history:

Created Sat 11th Apr 3:04pm PST by onedave[Power User]

Suspend date: Sun 20th Jan 2013 9am PST (3 years to go) details

 

Predictions (20)

6 weeks ago
bernardo predicted Abhisit Vejjajiva (H$500 at 55%)
14 weeks ago
bones predicted Abhisit Vejjajiva (H$100 at 52%)
31 weeks ago
ryanj predicted Mikheil Saakashvili (H$100 at 51%)
31 weeks ago
galad predicted Mikheil Saakashvili (H$20 at 51%)
31 weeks ago
bout3fitty predicted Abhisit Vejjajiva (H$100 at 49%)

Comments (1)

At least their presidents didn't start 2 wars 10,000 miles away from their borders.
posted 32 weeks ago

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