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Will there be a 'competition' to 2 million Twitter' Followers?

Voided

There has just been too much uncertainty around the settlement of the question. The clarification seems at odds with the question itself and there is clearly no consensus on how it should be settled. Sorry!

Background:

Background: Ashton won round one, but will there even be a Round 2 or will Twitter remove the ability to see how many Followers the account has?

Category Editor's Note: This question refers to a competition between any twitterers, not just Ashton and CNN. If Twitter removes the ability to see how many followers an account has, it will settle as No.

Confirmed with question creator: This question will only settle as no if Twitter remove the ability to view the number followers.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
25%
No
75%
Voided Wed 3rd Jun 5:25am PST

Suspend date: Wed 30th Sep 11:59pm PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 25%

Action history:

Created Fri 17th Apr 10:05am PST by warrickt
Clarified Tue 12th May 12:43am PST by nigeleccles[Admin]: My presumption is that this question will settle as yes unless Twitter removes the ability to see how many followers a user has. I will verify with the question creator.
Clarified Tue 12th May 8:14am PST by nigeleccles[Admin]: Confirmed with question creator: This question will only settle as no if Twitter remove the ability to view the number followers.
Suspended Tue 2nd Jun 7:18pm PST by gtown[Power User]: Flagged by super user: Suspended pending settlement.
Voided Wed 3rd Jun 5:25am PST by nigeleccles[Admin]: There has just been too much uncertainty around the settlement of the question. The clarification seems at odds with the question itself and there is clearly no consensus on how it should be settled. Sorry!

Suspend date: Wed 30th Sep 11:59pm PST details

 

Predictions (73)

24 weeks ago
gtown[Power User] predicted Yes (H$10,000 at 99%)
25 weeks ago
gtown[Power User] predicted Yes (H$10,000 at 99%)
26 weeks ago
gtown[Power User] predicted Yes (H$10,000 at 98%)
26 weeks ago
gtown[Power User] predicted Yes (H$10,000 at 97%)
26 weeks ago
gtown[Power User] predicted Yes (H$10,000 at 95%)

Comments (8)

  1 pics4d
this is the best thing to happen to twitter, i doubt they'd remove the ability to see # of followers...i'd bet on that Q for sure
posted 31 weeks ago
  2 tinymarae
Is reaching 2 million a requirement for settling it as yes? If not I guess this question could be rigged.
posted 31 weeks ago
  3 hfl13
At the moment Kutcher is gaining a big lead and a competition needs a challenger. CNN is unlikely to try again. Kutcher 1,243 Mio CNN 1,103 Britney 1,046 Mio.
posted 30 weeks ago
Define competition. Some guy with a blog saying "Yay, look! There's a race to 2,000,000"?
posted 30 weeks ago
  5 hfl13
Something serious with some credibility and some mayor media attention. If a guy with 300 followers challenges Ashton IMO it does not count. Challengers need at least 1 Mio (1,3 better) to have any claim of reaching 2 Mio soon. From the seven six millionaires Ashton is still gaining the fastest. Only Oprah is faster but she just passed Ashton 50% mark at 800000.

The race to 1 mio only became a race when distant third Ashton declared on CNN and did almost everything to get it.
posted 28 weeks ago
  6 kruijs[Power User]
"Ashton Kutcher became the first person on Twitter to reach a million followers last night. The Butterfly Effect star had challenged CNN to a popularity contest of sorts on the micro-blogging site, promising to donate 10,000 mosquito nets in honor of World Malaria Day if he beat the breaking news organizaiton to the magical million.

In other Twitter news, you can help Splash beat Ashton to the 2 million follower mark by following us (http://twitter.com/SplashNews)!"

http://splashnewsonline.celebuzz.com/2009/04/ashton-kutcher-beat-cnn.html
posted 28 weeks ago
  7 hfl13
4831 followers compared to 1681468. Is this competition or a dog barking at a firengine? This is the case jacob talked about at the 4th post.

Some clarification would be nice warrickt and category editor.

We need some rules or this question should be voided.
posted 27 weeks ago
  8 hfl13
Thanks for the clarification. With this interpretation the starting odds were way off. I am not happy !
posted 27 weeks ago

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