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Will the riders and their horses make it to London?

Background: A British woman and two Chinese companions left Beijing Saturday April 18, 2009 on three horses bound for the 2012 Olympics in London. The riders have a history of perseverance but not necessarily all on horses. This is a long journey for man and beast. What will occur?

http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20090418/ts_afp/lifestylechinabritaintravelhorseoly2012_20090418121722

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
All three horses and riders arrive in London
21%
All three riders but not horses arrive in London
26%
Some but not all riders & horses arrive in London
27%
Neither horses nor riders arrive in London
27%
Question suspends in 2 years

Suspend date: Thu 26th Jul 2012 3:59pm PST (2 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: All three horses and riders arrive in London: 20%, All three riders but not horses arrive in London: 20%, Some but not all riders & horses arrive in London: 20%, Neither horses nor riders arrive in London: 40%

Action history:

Created Sat 18th Apr 6:14am PST by phules

Suspend date: Thu 26th Jul 2012 3:59pm PST (2 years to go) details

 

Predictions (18)

13 weeks ago
blacksoapman predicted Some but not all riders & horses arrive in London (H$20 at 26%)
22 weeks ago
carnacthemagnificent predicted All three riders but not horses arrive in London (H$100 at 25%)
22 weeks ago
notablenotices[Power User] predicted All three horses and riders arrive in London (H$5 at 21%)
22 weeks ago
charlesf predicted All three riders but not horses arrive in London (H$100 at 24%)
29 weeks ago
donnamil predicted All three horses and riders arrive in London (H$200 at 20%)

Comments (1)

  1 phules
The site for this ride is http://www.thelonghorseride.com/about.htm

The news section keeps us updated and shows that right now the ride is on hold due to Megan falling off her horse, puncturing a lung and breaking ribs. She expects to restart and continue the ride in July.
posted 25 weeks ago

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