Created Sat 18th Apr 2009 3:41pm PST by 
uberjoe
uberjoe 
Will Iran see an Earthquake by the end of April?
Settled as Yes
Ouch - this one's going to burn a few people, but there was a 5.6 earthquake that occurred on the 30th of April in Iran.
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsww/Quakes/us2009gbaw.php
Background:
Background: Guangmeng Guo of the Remote Sensing Center at Nanjing Normal University has predicted an earthquake in the South of Iran between 5.0 and 6.0 on the Richter scale, based on unusual cloud formations. More information can be found here:
http://www.newscientist.com/blogs/shortsharpscience/2009/04/quake-scientist-says-iran-will.html
Will he be right?
Category Editor Clarification
For this to settle as 'yes', there must be an earthquake with a magnitude of greater than 4.5 reported within the land boundaries of Iran and reported on the USGS website before May 1: http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsww/
http://www.newscientist.com/blogs/shortsharpscience/2009/04/quake-scientist-says-iran-will.html
Will he be right?
Category Editor Clarification
For this to settle as 'yes', there must be an earthquake with a magnitude of greater than 4.5 reported within the land boundaries of Iran and reported on the USGS website before May 1: http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsww/
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| Yes |
| |||
| No |
|
Settled as Yes on Thu 30th Apr 2009 1:08pm PST
- Activity: H$130,957 |
- Predictions: 63 |
Comments: 8
Suspend date: Thu 30th Apr 2009 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 30th Apr 2009 1:08pm PST
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 66%
Action history:
Created Sat 18th Apr 2009 3:41pm PST by uberjoe
uberjoe
Changed Description Sat 18th Apr 2009 5:36pm PST by 
tisha![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: show details
tisha: show details ... information can be found here: <:<br/> <br/> <a href="http:// ... -says-iran-will.html</a> <><br/> <br/> Will he be right??<br/> <br/> <b>Category Editor Clarification</b><br/> For this to settle as 'yes', there must be an earthquake with a magnitude of greater than 4.5 reported within the land boundaries of Iran and reported on the USGS website before May 1: http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsww/
Settlement requested Thu 30th Apr 2009 2:26am PST by 
sqlman
: There was a 5.6 in southeastern Iran a few moments ago.
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsww/Quakes/us2009gbaw.php
Preliminary still, I know, so of course wait for confirmation. (And don't forget to check the time.)
sqlman: There was a 5.6 in southeastern Iran a few moments ago.
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsww/Quakes/us2009gbaw.php
Preliminary still, I know, so of course wait for confirmation. (And don't forget to check the time.)
Settlement requested Thu 30th Apr 2009 5:23am PST by sqlman: Just a follow-up: the 5.6 earthquake in Iran stands as-is.
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsww/Quakes/us2009gbaw.php
sqlman: Just a follow-up: the 5.6 earthquake in Iran stands as-is.
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsww/Quakes/us2009gbaw.php
Settled as 'Yes' Thu 30th Apr 2009 1:08pm PST by tisha: Ouch - this one's going to burn a few people, but there was a 5.6 earthquake that occurred on the 30th of April in Iran.
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsww/Quakes/us2009gbaw.php
tisha: Ouch - this one's going to burn a few people, but there was a 5.6 earthquake that occurred on the 30th of April in Iran.
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsww/Quakes/us2009gbaw.php
Suspend date: Thu 30th Apr 2009 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 30th Apr 2009 1:08pm PST details 
Get widget!Predictions (63)
monkey_man_444
predicted No (H$100 at 94%)
gtown![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
bgrigore
predicted Yes (H$500 at 7%)
predicted No (H$100 at 96%)Comments (8)
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Related Tags
An earthquake of 7.4 in Iran by the end of April or start of May would remove Iran as a threat to Israel.
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsww/Quakes/us2009gbaw.php
Lucky guess, or is he on to something?
Now seriously there is an increase of tectonic activity lately.
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