chatarra
Will Cuba release any political prisoners before July 1st 2009?
There's been no news of any such release...
Background:
Earlier this week, the Obama administration lifted restrictions on Cuban-Americans who want to travel and send money to their island homeland and freed U.S. telecommunications companies to seek business there. Havana responded, saying it was open to talks on issues including human rights - a topic long held off-limits.
Obama, speaking to reporters at a closing news conference at the Summit of the Americas, suggested that Cuba could further respond by releasing political prisoners and cutting fees on the money that Cuban-Americans send to their families.
Settlement details:Cuban President Fidel Castro must release at least one prisoner before the end of their sentence and publicly announce that it is an overture to the Obama administration for lifting restrictions against Cuba.
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
| No political prisoners get early release |
| |||
| 1 or more prisoners released early |
| |||
| Some other weird outcome not anticipated. |
|
- Activity: H$47,751 |
- Predictions: 77 |
Comments: 3
Suspend date: Tue 30th Jun 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 18th Jul 5:30am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 30th Jun 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: No political prisoners get early release: 60%, 1 or more prisoners released early: 39%, Some other weird outcome not anticipated.: 1%
Action history:
chatarra 
drzinternet: settles no 
sqlman![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: There's been no news of any such release... 
Suspend date: Tue 30th Jun 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 18th Jul 5:30am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 30th Jun 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
Get widget!Predictions (77)
abysscuria
predicted 1 or more prisoners released early (H$50 at 1%)
predicted No political prisoners get early release (H$200 at 99%)
predicted 1 or more prisoners released early (H$20 at 1%)
triciebird
predicted Some other weird outcome not anticipated. (H$20 at 1%)Comments (3)
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That could work.
I threw that outcome into the mix, because there seems to be scenarios that I do not foresee when creating questions.
Without looking it up, didn't Fidel release some mentally disturbed and otherwise dangerous criminals while Carter was in office. Then somehow send them over to the US as political refugees?
Also, isn't Fidel's brother Raul the one in charge down there these days?
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