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Will Obama lift the Cuban trade embargo by 2013?

Background: Will he? Recently there has been speculation. He even hinted at it himself. What do you think?

This seems to be very probable at this point within this period of time.

Initial likelihood: 50%

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
54%
No
46%
Question suspends in 3 years

Suspend date: Mon 31st Dec 2012 12:59pm PST (3 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Mon 20th Apr 4:45am PST by alwayswins

Suspend date: Mon 31st Dec 2012 12:59pm PST (3 years to go) details

 

Predictions (38)

2 weeks ago
njbroug predicted Yes (H$100 at 54%)
8 weeks ago
csykes predicted Yes (H$578 at 54%)
8 weeks ago
owlcreekobserver predicted Yes (H$100 at 55%)
9 weeks ago
corbelle predicted Yes (H$100 at 54%)
13 weeks ago
azeer14 predicted Yes (H$25 at 54%)

Comments (1)

This is a bad question because the President isn't legally allowed to lift the embargo unilaterally (as it is controlled by law under the Helms-Burton act which would need to be repealed to end the embargo).
posted 12 weeks ago

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