Created Tue 21st Apr 3:26am PST by 
cookietime
cookietime 
Can Susan Boyle win youtube?
Background: Susan Boyle's performance on Britain's Got Talent could soon become the most-viewed YouTube video of all time, with web videos of her rendition of I Dreamed A Dream being viewed 100m times, statisticians believe.
She could soon match the hits achieved by Evolution Of Dance from comedian Judson Laipply, which has been viewed more than 118m times since 2006.
http://www.ananova.com/news/story/sm_3289267.html
Can Susan go all the way, can she top the youtube viewing stats and knock Laipply off his perch? I'll set settlement for Christmas this year, if she hasn't done it by then it will settle as No.
She could soon match the hits achieved by Evolution Of Dance from comedian Judson Laipply, which has been viewed more than 118m times since 2006.
http://www.ananova.com/news/story/sm_3289267.html
Can Susan go all the way, can she top the youtube viewing stats and knock Laipply off his perch? I'll set settlement for Christmas this year, if she hasn't done it by then it will settle as No.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. This settles on mainstream news reporting that Susan Boyle is the most viewed youtube video of all time, but must be corroborated by at least *TWO* mainstream news sources.
Forecast history %
| Yes |
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| No |
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Question suspends in 4 weeks
- Activity: H$144,179 |
- Predictions: 156 |
Comments: 11
Suspend date: Fri 25th Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
Created Tue 21st Apr 3:26am PST by cookietime
cookietime
Changed Settlement info Thu 23rd Apr 12:50pm PST by 
jenniandboys![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: show details
jenniandboys: show details ... a major mainstream news source. <a href="http://www.youtube.com/browse?s=mp&t=a">http://www.youtube.com/browse?s=mp&t=a</a>
Settlement requested Thu 23rd Apr 5:06pm PST by 
violetplanet
: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/culture/tvandradio/susan-boyle/5206091/Susan-Boyles-Britains-Got-Talent-performance-sets-YouTube-record.html
violetplanet: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/culture/tvandradio/susan-boyle/5206091/Susan-Boyles-Britains-Got-Talent-performance-sets-YouTube-record.html
Changed Settlement info Fri 24th Apr 2:56am PST by jenniandboys: show details
jenniandboys: show details ... a major mainstream news source. <a. This settles on mainstream news reporting that Susan Boyle is the most viewed href="http://www.youtube.com/browse?s=mp&t=a">http://www.youtube video of all time, but must be corroborated by at least *TWO* mainstream news sources.com/browse?s=mp&t=a</a>
Unsuspended Fri 24th Apr 3:09am PST by jenniandboys: Please note this market is based on mainstream media and thus is a summation of various similar Susan Boyle videos. Because some of the "adding" can be prone to error, we will need two separate settlement sources (not just someone reposting!) which both conclude that she has surpassed current record holder Evolution of Dance. At least one news source, believes that may happen soon: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/celebritynews/5192099/Susan-Boyles-Britains-Got-Talent-performance-viewed-100-million-times.html
jenniandboys: Please note this market is based on mainstream media and thus is a summation of various similar Susan Boyle videos. Because some of the "adding" can be prone to error, we will need two separate settlement sources (not just someone reposting!) which both conclude that she has surpassed current record holder Evolution of Dance. At least one news source, believes that may happen soon: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/celebritynews/5192099/Susan-Boyles-Britains-Got-Talent-performance-viewed-100-million-times.html
Settlement requested Mon 27th Apr 8:41am PST by 
hfl13
: 117,469,719 views
http://www.viralvideochart.com/dailymotion/susan_boyle_on_britain_got_talent?id=x8ymn0
hfl13: 117,469,719 views
http://www.viralvideochart.com/dailymotion/susan_boyle_on_britain_got_talent?id=x8ymn0
Settlement requested Fri 1st May 12:26am PST by hfl13: 126,466,808 views with 165 duplicates
http://www.viralvideochart.com/dailymotion/susan_boyle_on_britain_got_talent?id=x8ymn0
Next link:
http://www.youtube.com/results?search_type=videos&search_query=Susan+Boyle&search_sort=video_view_count
This is hard to add up but possible. This link searches youtube for Susan Boyle and i sorted by number of hits.
Just add only I dreamed a dream. Not counting the interviews and Cry me a river. In doubt check the video.
hfl13: 126,466,808 views with 165 duplicates
http://www.viralvideochart.com/dailymotion/susan_boyle_on_britain_got_talent?id=x8ymn0
Next link:
http://www.youtube.com/results?search_type=videos&search_query=Susan+Boyle&search_sort=video_view_count
This is hard to add up but possible. This link searches youtube for Susan Boyle and i sorted by number of hits.
Just add only I dreamed a dream. Not counting the interviews and Cry me a river. In doubt check the video.
Suspend date: Fri 25th Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (156)
lakerslover93
predicted No (H$100 at 97%)
kruijs![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted Yes (H$300 at 6%)
frogchop
badgersfan
predicted No (H$100 at 56%)Comments (11)
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This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
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I never understood how she got so many views but I guess that explains it.
Also, I think destry's right, it will slow down pretty quick. She (Susan Boyle) will still need 2 million+ views per week at least.
by the way, that telegraph article in the sidebar up there is now predicting that boyle will pass the record 'in a matter of days'...
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/culture/tvandradio/susan-boyle/5206091/Susan-Boyles-Britains-Got-Talent-performance-sets-YouTube-record.html
The intent of the question was for a mainstream news source to state that she had beaten the current record holder 'evolution of dance'. That article doesn't say that, although it does say it will happen shortly...
Apologies for the confusion, but i suspect that settlement will be the same in the end!
vs.
Susan Boyle: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9lp0IWv8QZY = 72,982,839 views
Even if you count the 3-4 most significant duplicates of Boyle, Evolution still has a huge lead.
Evolution = 127,061,461 views (2.7 million new views)
Boyle = 76,129,670 views (3.1 million new views)
Evolution is certainly keeping pace well enough to survive the next 12 weeks.
http://www.stuff.co.nz/the-press/technology/3007406/Brother-biting-video-is-YouTube-king
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