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Will Iranian President Ahmadinejad visit Yad Vashem before April 22, 2010?

Background: On April 21, 2009, Israel's former chief rabbi, Yisrael Lau, invited Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to visit the Yad Vashem Holocaust Memorial in Jerusalem. He made the invitation a day after Ahmadinejad gave a speech at the Durban Review Conference where he called Israel "the most cruel and repressive racist regime." Lau made the invitation while speaking at a Holocaust Rememberance Day ceremony at Auschwitz-Birkenau Death Camp.

Lau is a Holocaust survivor and the chairman of Yad Vashem. Yad Vashem is Israel's official memorial to the Jewish victims of the Holocaust.

The text of the invitation follows: "Come to Yad Vashem, we'll show you all of the archives documents and memoirs. We will present you with all the evidence until you are convinced that the Holocaust actually happened," said Lau, a Holocaust survivor and director of the Jerusalem museum.

Additional information:
http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1080088.html
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yad_Vashem
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mahmoud_Ahmadinejad_and_Israel

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
9%
No
91%
Question suspends in 21 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 21st Apr 2010 11:59am PST (21 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%

Action history:

Created Tue 21st Apr 3:36pm PST by onedave[Power User]

Suspend date: Wed 21st Apr 2010 11:59am PST (21 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (22)

2 weeks ago
nyharel predicted No (H$1,000 at 91%)
20 weeks ago
nyharel predicted No (H$900 at 94%)
23 weeks ago
nyharel predicted No (H$5,000 at 95%)
26 weeks ago
nyharel predicted No (H$100 at 94%)
27 weeks ago
ksyankeefan predicted No (H$50 at 94%)

Comments (4)

What a crazy question. I think even 10:90 is far off reality.
Besides, I never bet on that kind of long-term things. :-)
posted 30 weeks ago
  2 sqlman[Admin]
Ahmadinejad will visit a Holocaust memorial in Jerusalem a few days after he renounces all he's stood for all his life, and converts to Judaism. :-|
posted 30 weeks ago
I bet NO, but I wish he would visit.
posted 30 weeks ago
  4 onedave[Power User]
The prospects are not very good. The Pope will not visit Yad Vashem on his upcoming trip.

http://newsweek.washingtonpost.com/onfaith/brad_hirschfield/2009/05/pope_to_skip_israeli_holocaust.html?hpid=talkbox1
posted 28 weeks ago

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