Who will win this years Kentucky Derby?
Background: The Kentucky Derby is a Grade I stakes race for three year-old thoroughbred horses, held annually in Louisville, Kentucky, on the first Saturday in May, capping the two-week-long Kentucky Derby Festival. The race is one and a quarter miles (2 km) at Churchill Downs. Colts and geldings carry 126 pounds (57.2 kg) and fillies 121 pounds (54.9 kg).
The race is known in the United States as "The fastest Two Minutes in Sports" for its approximate duration, and is also called "The Run for the Roses" for the blanket of roses draped over the winner. It is the first leg of the United States Triple Crown of Thoroughbred Racing and is followed by the Preakness Stakes then the Belmont Stakes.
More history and past winners here
Official site of the Kentucky Derby
List of contenders with information about each horse Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Who will win this years Kentucky Derby?
Pioneer of the Nile
I Want Revenge
Desert Party
Dunkirk
Quality Road
Friesan Fire
Chocolate Candy
Papa Clem
Regal Ransom
Hold Me Back
Any other horse wins
Forecast history %
Current top options (scroll down for all options)
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| Friesan Fire | |
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| Dunkirk | |
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| Any other horse wins | |
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| Pioneer of the Nile | |
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| Hold Me Back | |
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| I Want Revenge | |
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| Quality Road | |
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| Regal Ransom | |
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| Papa Clem | |
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| Chocolate Candy | |
Settled as Any other horse wins on Sat 2nd May 3:09pm PST
Suspend date: Sat 2nd May 2pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 2nd May 3:09pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 2nd May 2pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods:
Pioneer of the Nile: 15%, I Want Revenge: 22%, Desert Party: 5%, Dunkirk: 12%, Quality Road: 12%, Friesan Fire: 9%, Chocolate Candy: 5%, Papa Clem: 5%, Regal Ransom: 5%, Hold Me Back: 5%, Any other horse wins: 5%
Action history:
Suspended Sat 2nd May 2pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Sat 2nd May 2pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspend date: Sat 2nd May 2pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 2nd May 3:09pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 2nd May 2pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
All options
Predictions (298)
28 weeks ago
horsefeathers
predicted
Any other horse wins (H$10 at 18%)
28 weeks ago
phules
predicted
Pioneer of the Nile (H$100 at 6%)
Comments (42)
Comments: 42
mrperfkt![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: Mine that bird at 45-1!
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Did you go to monticello? I lived 19 miles away from there.
News appears to confirm this:
http://sports.yahoo.com/rah/news;_ylt=AsDY5qMNIXkFSnHjlwNqQfAX47kF?slug=ap-kentuckyderby-iwantrevenge&prov=ap&type=lgns
I don't remember. I was a little kid. We lived in a rural town called Fosterdale.
Go to this link, it lists all the horses. Just remember "I want revenge" has been removed from the race.
http://www.courierpress.com/news/2009/apr/29/post-positions-set-saturdays-kentucky-derby/?partner=yahoo_headlines
Another questionable settlement by mrperfkt.
@beezler - you've made similar remarks before, which will not be tolerated.
I'm going to have to check with the tech guys to see if this can be corrected, otherwise winning options will be paid out manually.
Please bare with me while I look in to this. Sorry for the inconvenience.
I don't hear those with losing wagers complaining though! :)
can you check on mine too?
thx, ken
Actually, most players have come out ahead with their bets on the 'losers' being cancelled... there's not that many that made wagers on the correct outcome...and in many cases, the cancellation of their incorrect wagers was greater than their win on 'any other horse', so they're ahead of the game already....
steps off soapbox
You should know by now that when technical errors occur we do our best to rectify them by paying out manually where possible and I really don't see the need for any abuse. Be patient and remember that manners don't even cost virtual money.
What happens is that the category editor goes into your cash balance account and literally tops you up the amount that you would have won, so the amount goes straight into your cash balance. It is very easy to miss if you aren't looking out for it, but it has been credited.
For what it's worth, my horse did not end up winning, I took the field, but I was pulling for Musket Man.
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