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United States to experience a debt crisis during Barack Obama's first term

Background: The United States will experience a debt crisis on or before Jan 20, 2013. A debt crisis can be defined as any of the following:

- United States defaults on some or all of its national debt
- United States must print or create money to avoid a default, causing a drop of 40% or more in the value of the dollar, in a single 12-month period, against at least two major international currencies. International currencies are: Euro, Yen, Pound, Canadian Dollar, Australian Dollar

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
20%
No
80%
Question suspends in 3 years

Suspend date: Sun 20th Jan 2013 11:59pm PST (3 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 8%

Action history:

Created Mon 27th Apr 10:23am PST by risk

Suspend date: Sun 20th Jan 2013 11:59pm PST (3 years to go) details

 

Predictions (11)

3 days ago
notablenotices[Power User] predicted Yes (H$100 at 20%)
4 weeks ago
frogchop predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 17%)
4 weeks ago
rogerkni predicted Yes (H$500 at 14%)
7 weeks ago
rogerkni predicted Yes (H$100 at 13%)
13 weeks ago
jyoungs predicted Yes (H$50 at 13%)

Comments (1)

Obama: Too much debt could fuel double-dip recession(!)
http://www.reuters.com/article/businessNews/idUSTRE5AH1RY20091118?feedType=RSS&feedName=businessNews&utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+reuters%2FbusinessNews+%28News+%2F+US+%2F+Business+News%29
BEIJING (Reuters) - President Barack Obama gave his sternest warning yet about the need to contain rising U.S. deficits, saying on Wednesday that if government debt were to pile up too much, it could lead to a double-dip recession.

With the U.S. unemployment rate at 10.2 percent, Obama told Fox News his administration faces a delicate balance of trying to boost the economy and spur job creation while putting the economy on a path toward long-term deficit reduction.

His administration was considering ways to accelerate economic growth, with tax measures among the options to give companies incentives to hire, Obama said in the interview with Fox conducted in Beijing during his nine-day trip to Asia.

"It is important though to recognize if we keep on adding to the debt, even in the midst of this recovery, that at some point, people could lose confidence in the U.S. economy in a way that could actually lead to a double-dip recession," he said.
[More at the link...
posted 3 days ago

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