Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
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When will hubdub crack the 25,000 user mark?

Settled as October 2009

Background: As shown on the leaderboards. As of creation of this question, there are approximately 19825 users shown on the leaderboards, here:

http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaderboard

Go to the last page to see how many there are. Judged based on how many users are shown on the leaderboards.

Settlement details:As reported on the Leaderboard page.

 
Forecast history %
April or May 2009
0%
June 2009
0%
July 2009
0%
August 2009
0%
September 2009
0%
October 2009
99%
Novermber 2009
0%
December 2009
0%
January 2010
0%
February 2010 or after, or never
0%
Settled as October 2009 on Mon 5th Oct 4:18am PST

Suspend date: Sun 28th Feb 2010 11:59pm PST (14 weeks to go)
Settlement date: Mon 5th Oct 4:18am PST

Initial likelihoods: April or May 2009: 5%, June 2009: 6%, July 2009: 7%, August 2009: 8%, September 2009: 9%, October 2009: 10%, Novermber 2009: 10%, December 2009: 10%, January 2010: 10%, February 2010 or after, or never: 25%

Action history:

Created Mon 27th Apr 11:57am PST by risk
Settlement requested Mon 5th Oct 4:11am PST by mickeydaniel: Please settle as October. Total now stands at 25,007. http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=1251
Settled as 'October 2009' Mon 5th Oct 4:18am PST by nigeleccles[Admin]

Suspend date: Sun 28th Feb 2010 11:59pm PST (14 weeks to go)
Settlement date: Mon 5th Oct 4:18am PST details

 

Predictions (276)

7 weeks ago
sdrawkcabton88 predicted September 2009 (H$20 at 0%)
7 weeks ago
apiphanie predicted October 2009 (H$20 at 98%)
7 weeks ago
apiphanie predicted Novermber 2009 (H$20 at 1%)
7 weeks ago
infdaze predicted Novermber 2009 (H$50 at 0%)
7 weeks ago
sdrawkcabton88 predicted September 2009 (H$20 at 19%)

Comments (14)

19964 today, up 139 in about 3 days. At this pace we get there in early fall...
posted 29 weeks ago
  2 hfl13
I know how many were there when I joined and if this 6 month pace hold up its Feb 2010+.
posted 29 weeks ago
20877 users as of 12:54 AM GMT

http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_20877
posted 29 weeks ago
hfl, the growth may be exponential. I invite a couple of friends to join and each of them invited three friends and each of those friends invites a couple more, pretty soon you have a crowd....
posted 29 weeks ago
@ f-o-f: how did you do that? When I go to the last page of the leaderboard, I get 20037 as of 10.30 GMT. There must be more stealth players. But as the editors informed me, if the settlement says by leaderboard, so it is by leaderboard, accurate or not. I still don't know how you accurately determine how many are out there...
posted 29 weeks ago
  6 hfl13
magic
posted 29 weeks ago
Currently increasing at a pace of 700/month. Should get there by November.
posted 27 weeks ago
I want to know how DerekBen7 ended up with a net worth of H$-73. And when is he going to pay up?
posted 27 weeks ago
It got him permanent last place. Must have had a subprime mortgage.....
posted 26 weeks ago
20319, up about 500 in a bit under 4 wks. Pace has slowed a bit, but still likely to get there by the end of the year!
posted 26 weeks ago
The pace has picked up a good deal lately.......
posted 21 weeks ago
go! go! go! tell all your friends!
posted 10 weeks ago
@tuff - I didn't see your question in comment #5 until now... In the early days of hubdub our user profiles were hubdub.com/e/User/_#### instead of hubdub.com/Users/username. Way back then we tracked/settled user count questions by the number in the profile link:
http://www.hubdub.com/m7248/Will_Hubdub_hit_6400_users_by_15th_May_2008

Today kyilay, from Myanmar, was the 26315th person to sign-up:
http://www.hubdub.com/e/User/_26315

...but due to inactive/deleted accounts we're up to 24468 users:
http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=666666

derekben7 should login 4 days in a row to pay off his debt to society!!!
posted 10 weeks ago
  14 hfl13
34 missing for a settlement
posted 7 weeks ago

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