Created Mon 27th Apr 2009 3:20pm PST by 
risk
risk 
Official cost to US of Swine Flu (A/H1N1)
Background: What will be the officially reported total cost to the US Federal Government and state governments for the prevention, treatment and containment of the 2009 outbreak of Swine Flu (A/H1N1)? To be judged only if such a number is reported after the WHO changes the phase of pandemic alert for A/H1N1 to "post-peak."
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| No figure reported by suspend date |
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| less than $10 million |
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| $10 million or more, less than $100 million |
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| $100 million or more, less than $1 billion |
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| $1 billion or more, less than $10 billion |
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| $10 billion or more |
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Question suspends in 40 weeks
- Activity: H$25,863 |
- Predictions: 20 |
Comments: 9
Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (40 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: No figure reported by suspend date: 20%, less than $10 million: 30%, $10 million or more, less than $100 million : 20%, $100 million or more, less than $1 billion: 15%, $1 billion or more, less than $10 billion: 10%, $10 billion or more: 5%
Action history:
Created Mon 27th Apr 2009 3:20pm PST by risk
risk 
Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (40 weeks to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (20)
![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted $10 billion or more (H$800 at 69%)
bigken1
predicted $10 billion or more (H$100 at 61%)
aland
predicted $10 billion or more (H$250 at 61%)Comments (9)
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This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
Reuters 45 weeks ago
human-to-human spread as it tries to decide whether to declare a full-blown pandemic. TAMIFLU STOCKS BEING DISPATCHED The United Nations agency also said it would begin sending 2.4 million treatment courses of Tamiflu, an antiviral proven effective
score: 10
Haaretz 46 weeks ago
Ministry announced Saturday evening that three more Israelis are suspected of carrying the H1NI virus, otherwise known as 'swine flu'. A 33-year-old woman and her eight-month-old son were admitted to Jerusalem's Hadassah Ein Kerem hospital after arriving
score: 10
Haaretz 46 weeks ago
Israel have confirmed Saturday that a third individual has been infected with the H1NI virus, otherwise known as 'swine flu'. The patient is a 34-year-old man who recently returned from a trip to Mexico. He was admitted to Tel Aviv's Icihilov Hospital on
score: 10
Sydney Morning Herald 46 weeks ago
World health officials tried to quell growing fears over swine flu on Thursday, as governments braced for a global pandemic and the United States set up a lab in Mexico to help diagnose and test cases. A day after upping
score: 10
Al Jazeera 46 weeks ago
The Netherlands is the latest country to confirm its first case of swine flu as concern mounts over the speed at which the virus is spreading around the globe. A three-year-old child, who recently arrived back from Mexico, is receiving treatment and
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Seven - and I am fairly confident you can't prove me wrong! :-)
sql -- how about the size of the angels' feet? .. and the shape of the pin head?
And some of you guys still have money on the 'less than $10 million' option? :-)
In reference to the following background statement: "To be judged only if such a number is reported after the WHO changes the phase of pandemic alert for A/H1N1 to 'post-peak'." This isn't my category, so it isn't my market, but I would interpret that to mean that this market's suspend date will be pushed back until WHO declares a post-peak phase--which may not happen until the first or second of 2011--or until the highest figure ($10 billion) is reached, whichever comes first.
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