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What will President Obama's approval rating be on Thursday June 4th, 2009?

Settled as 62%

Background: "What will President Obama's approval rating be after it is updated 1pm (Eastern) Thursday June 4, 2009?"

Settlement details:As reported by Gallup at http://www.gallup.com

 
Forecast history %
56% or below
0%
57%
0%
58%
0%
59%
1%
60%
2%
61%
4%
62%
22%
63%
24%
64%
27%
65% or above
20%
Settled as 62% on Sun 7th Jun 2:35pm PST

Suspend date: Thu 4th Jun 4:59am PST
Settlement date: Sun 7th Jun 2:35pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 4th Jun 4:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 56% or below: 1%, 57%: 3%, 58%: 10%, 59%: 20%, 60%: 30%, 61%: 20%, 62%: 8%, 63%: 5%, 64%: 2%, 65% or above: 1%

Action history:

Created Wed 29th Apr 8:23pm PST by notablenotices[Power User]
Suspended Thu 4th Jun 4:59am PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as '62%' Sun 7th Jun 2:35pm PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Thu 4th Jun 4:59am PST
Settlement date: Sun 7th Jun 2:35pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 4th Jun 4:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (202)

24 weeks ago
btb5 predicted 64% (H$20 at 26%)
24 weeks ago
rusty predicted 63% (H$50 at 24%)
24 weeks ago
rusty predicted 61% (H$20 at 4%)
24 weeks ago
chrispbrownie predicted 65% or above (H$20 at 20%)
24 weeks ago
amdrew predicted 64% (H$50 at 26%)

Comments (9)

A taxpayer approving of Obama is like a chicken approving of Colonel Sanders :-(
posted 25 weeks ago
hhaha
posted 25 weeks ago
I take it you are not a Democrat, f-o-f....\\r
\\nLuckily, thanks to the economic swoon, there is not so much of my wealth left to re-distribute!
posted 25 weeks ago
awesome
posted 24 weeks ago
@notablenotices: time to make markets for the next four weeks! I like it when you make a whole batch of them, gives more time for things to play out!
Thanks!
posted 24 weeks ago
Yes I like this market very much as well
posted 24 weeks ago
@tuff_sledding:

Thanks for the reminder! I just created them now - happy forecasting!
posted 24 weeks ago
THANK YOU!!!!!
posted 24 weeks ago
This one is going down to the wire...
posted 24 weeks ago

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