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What will be the Official World Golf Ranking for Rory McIlroy at the end of 2009?

Background: Rory McIlroy was the youngest player ever to make the top 50 of the Official World Golf Rankings. Earlier this year after getting his first professional win at the Dubai Desert Classic, McIlroy moved all the way up to 16th in the world rankings.
McIlroy began the year ranked #39 in the World. What ranking will he have at year's end?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source and/or http://www.officialworldgolfranking.com/home/default.sps

 
Forecast history %
Top 5
0%
6th - 10th
94%
11th - 15th
3%
16th -20th
1%
21st - 25th
1%
26th - 30th
1%
31st - 35th
0%
36th - 40th
0%
Outside top 40
0%
Settled as 6th - 10th on Tue 22nd Dec 2009 6:40am PST

Suspend date: Wed 23rd Dec 2009 7:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 22nd Dec 2009 6:40am PST

Initial likelihoods: Top 5: 5%, 6th - 10th: 8%, 11th - 15th: 13%, 16th -20th: 15%, 21st - 25th: 18%, 26th - 30th: 15%, 31st - 35th : 13%, 36th - 40th: 8%, Outside top 40: 5%

Action history:

Created Wed 29th Apr 2009 8:51pm PST by sdchargers[Power User]
Settlement requested Mon 21st Dec 2009 8:41am PST by mickeydaniel: Please settle as 6th-10th place. The official final 2009 rankings are shown here: http://dps.twiihosting.net/wgr/doc/content/archive/2009/owgr52f2009.pdf
Settled as '6th - 10th' Tue 22nd Dec 2009 6:40am PST by mrperfkt[Admin]: http://dps.twiihosting.net/wgr/doc/content/archive/2009/owgr52f2009.pdf

Suspend date: Wed 23rd Dec 2009 7:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 22nd Dec 2009 6:40am PST details

 

Predictions (108)

13 weeks ago
stampee1 predicted 6th - 10th (H$2,506 at 76%)
13 weeks ago
stampee1 predicted 11th - 15th (H$1,071 at 43%)
14 weeks ago
stampee1 predicted 11th - 15th (H$586 at 33%)
14 weeks ago
stampee1 predicted 11th - 15th (H$60 at 28%)
14 weeks ago
stampee1 predicted 11th - 15th (H$280 at 10%)

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