Can any Hubdubber gain 1,000,000 in Q2 2009?

5 should be 5 and more

I am quite shure about elly, tuff and randburg. Than there are three maybes sdchargers, orlin & me.

Don't count the chickens before they're hatched, goes the saying. It's not going to be easy for anybody and certainly not a cinch. I think two are likely, but far from certain. As you saw somebody bet heavily on "none" early on - may turn out to be true - time will tell.

PS, you're right about the last option. Should be "5 or more" (unlikely as that may be)....
I have sent a flag to cat ed.

. "I think two are likely" (elly & you / elly and randburg ?) Orlin can always do this and sd seems back on track. I made 248K in April and was able to raise my earnings every month. Only 700K in Q2 would be a setback - a million would make me happy ;-) There is a Superbowl question in the HubDub subcategory I´d like to win.

(and its your fault tuff because you forced me to become first Oracle and maybe Superdubber)

hfl, you're smokin'! I see you making it. I have not had much time the last few days, may have less going forward, so I think I'm highly questionable. It takes too much time to make big bucks here....

Elly & Randburg are on track - my chances are about 40 % and orlin, you and sd are able to do it with enough time. I just had 2 days without time and my gains dropped a little.

oh, oh, somebody woke a sleeping giant!
orlin has started to make his move, he can get to a million in no time, given he probably has 3 or 4 million in cash to deploy at will....

So now it could be four or five :-)

Still could be any of the listed options. I'm not sure the pace is sustainable for the leaders. I will have to quit spending so much time with this, so I give myself a 5% chance at best. The path is not always straight. Big bets can go bad....

My guesses
elly 95%
randburg 90%
orlin 60%
tuff 25% (would have been 60 before your time problems)
me 40%
sd 25%
lola 10%

hfl, you are a man on a mission, I think you are good for the 1M. Then there is orlin, who is close and can probably get there in 3 days if he wants to. Elly is a shoe-in and randburg is also on pace. Then there is sdchargers and a few others whose pace is accelerating and not at all out of reach. I am sure everybody has gobs of cash to deploy, so anything is possible. I don't see why option 'three" is so popular. I see four or five being quite plausible.....

@tuff_sledding I have the feeling this will be your most traded market.

I betted 1700 on the other options and somebody betted 4444 on option 3. I wonder who it is... :)

I have no idea what's going on here. There are some wild fluctuations here, obviously big bets are piling on. This has been fun!

I really like the market and am betting on three and above. If everything goes well I will be close with a million in Q2 and I will use my networth to game this question for my favorite outcome. I will have worket very hard for the million in Q2 and it will be 950K or 1050K for me because I dont expect to be way beyond. Be warned ;-)

My update:

elly 100%
randburg 75%
orlin 60%
me 50%
sd 45%
tuff 25%
lola 5%

My real mission is the superbowl hubdub question. (only need 2,5 million more)

You may need more if the ad space could get more expensive. I am warned ;). My exposure to this market is 10k, yours probably between 30-40k. I have 500k in cash. So, game on, it will be fun, I won't mind if I lose I play just for fun.
Good luck with the superbowl objective, it is very ambitious.

My problem is with time - that question settles when they announce the add costs and I don´t know when that will be. Maybe 3,3 isn´t enough could be 3,6.

Its just a fun ride at the moment and there could be huge setbacks. But as long as I am able to reach my conservative & progressive goal for each month I am well off. The aim with 1M for Q2 is just a crazy adventure but serious motivation. Who knows ....

hfl, as for the Superbowl ads, that may not be as expensive as you think. Perhaps the fact that we are in a severe recession has escaped your vigilance? Advertising spending everywhere is down considerably, I doubt the networks will be able to up the price. I think you will be wealthy enough to advertise......
btw, you are smoking - looks to me like we may well have 4 or 5 quarterly millionaires, Orlin is on a good pace and sdchargers not far behind. I might yet be close enough to be in the mix and at least add some uncertainty to the outcome.

This years superbowl had recession too and there was no discount but a further increase.

One million is still a lot of action and I won´t bet any money on none, but two, three, four are all possible. orlin, randburg and sd need to comment on their chances ;-) to make this easier. There are only 42 days left and for me it will be a strugle.

They set the price before the extent of the recession was fully appreciated. This question of the superbowl ad price could make a good market, by the way...
Yea, isn't that cool. This may go down to the wire with record bets. I agree, it's anywhere between 2 and 5. Folks may be lying low, setting up for some wild moves at the end. I wish the question creator would get 1/10000 of the winnings in real cash!

1/10000 would only be $ 18 at the moment ...

54 days out of 91 gone makes 59.3% done...only 1 person above that mark

but 4 above 50% with the multimillionaires orlin & randburg

@hfl: by July 1 it'll be up to $25 or more. Hey, there is a recession, any little bit helps...
@pics: like hfl says, don't discount the final sprint. There are a few folks with a lot of cash and a trick or two up their sleeve. hfl is not done, he will charge back!

yeah i figure there's alot of Q's that come up at the end of the month...just hoping there's more winners than losers for those

@pics4d\\r
\\n59 days out of 91 gone makes 64.8% done... and our three giants are pulling ahead with:\\r
\\nelly 83,9%\\r
\\norlin 77,0%\\r
\\nrandburg 68,6%\\r
\\n\\r
\\nAnd if one strugles hopefully tuff or sd will be there. I won´t make it this time if Steve Jobs isn´t comming back soon and one or two additional miracles happen.

awesome! we\'ve gone over H$200,000!

Excellent design - please repeat next quarter.

Will do, hfl. It's been a fun ride. I still have no idea where this will end. I am pretty sure option none and 1 are out, but any of the others are still very possible. elly and orlin are a done deal. randburg looks probable, but totals have fluctuated wildly. He does not have much of a margin, would need to keep or exceed current pace. I have picked up speed lately, at my recent pace I will actually be very close as well. sdchargers is in the mix and you are not far behind. You'd probably have to gamble a bit to have a chance to get there, but the possibility cannot be discounted. With lots of cash and a willingness to take a chance, large sums can be made in a short time on short-horizon bets.
Good luck to everyone. I will definitely try this again for subsequent quarters.

whoa...what happened to tuff_sledding...they just completely dropped off the top 20

I am back. Had a little disagreement with voided questions, went on strike...

Total activity over 291K
I'd be happy to take $29. There would be nothing wrong with such modest compensation for creating good questions that generate a lot of activity for the site. Hey, any Administrators out there, what do you think of the idea?

Is stlj9174 for real or is he just a figment of my imagination? I know that I am on here most of the night and don't get enough sleep sometimes but I never thought I was this bad. Is he one of the stealth leaders? I thought that bug was fixed a while ago. How can someone gain at least H$200,000 last night and then another H$250,000 this morning?
My only interest is that if 4 make it I will have a BIG gain(H$100@1.64%), 5 is a small gain and 3 or less is a loss. Ever since 3 made it I have been rooting for #4. Now I am worried that one of the others that I have been rooting for will make #5.

If this is for real, I am very impressed. If not I am very confused.
Can anyone tell me which I should be?

Now stlj9174 is on the Net Worth leaderboard but not on the Quarterly Gain leaderboard. Also no personal icon or link to his member page. Is this part of the stealth member problem? If it stays like this until July 1, does he count for this question? Are there any Administrators available to clearify this situation?