Created Fri 1st May 6:11am PST by
ojw15
Who will replace Justice Souter?
Settled as Sonia Sotomayor (Judge)
Background: Supreme Court Justice David Souter plans to retire at the end of the current Court term (i.e. June 2009) to spend more time in his native New Hampshire, giving President Obama his first appointment to the Supreme Court. Souter was appointed by President George H W Bush but surprised many by becoming one of the Court's more liberal members.
President Obama therefore has reasonable grounds for appointing someone viewed as liberal, since it would not substantially change the makeup of the Court, and he has a very good chance of having his appointment confirmed, since the Democrats will probably by then have a 60-seat filibuster-avoiding majority in the Senate. He is also said to be under pressure to appoint a woman (Justice Ruth Bader Ginsberg being the only woman currently on the Court). Obama himself has said that he is "committed to appointing judges who understand how law operates in our daily lives, judges who will uphold the values at the core of our Constitution".
Below are the most often mentioned candidates - who will be chosen?
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Who will replace Justice Souter?
Elena Kagan (currently Solicitor General)
Sonia Sotomayor (Judge)
Diana Wood (Judge)
Cass Sunstein (Head of OIRA)
Hillary Clinton (Secretary of State)
Leah Ward Sears (Georgia Supreme Court)
Nicholas Garaufis (Judge)
Harold Koh (Dean of Yale Law School)
Seth Waxman (former Solicitor General)
Someone Else
Forecast history %
|
| Elena Kagan (currently Solicitor General) | |
|
| Sonia Sotomayor (Judge) | |
|
| Diana Wood (Judge) | |
|
| Cass Sunstein (Head of OIRA) | |
|
| Hillary Clinton (Secretary of State) | |
|
| Leah Ward Sears (Georgia Supreme Court) | |
|
| Nicholas Garaufis (Judge) | |
|
| Harold Koh (Dean of Yale Law School) | |
|
| Seth Waxman (former Solicitor General) | |
|
| Someone Else | |
Settled as Sonia Sotomayor (Judge) on Thu 6th Aug 11:42am PST
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
Settlement date: Thu 6th Aug 11:42am PST
Initial likelihoods:
Elena Kagan (currently Solicitor General): 10%, Sonia Sotomayor (Judge): 10%, Diana Wood (Judge): 10%, Cass Sunstein (Head of OIRA): 10%, Hillary Clinton (Secretary of State): 10%, Leah Ward Sears (Georgia Supreme Court): 10%, Nicholas Garaufis (Judge): 10%, Harold Koh (Dean of Yale Law School): 10%, Seth Waxman (former Solicitor General): 10%, Someone Else: 10%
Action history:
Created Fri 1st May 6:11am PST by
ojw15
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
Settlement date: Thu 6th Aug 11:42am PST details 
Predictions (111)
15 weeks ago
bigh165
predicted
Sonia Sotomayor (Judge) (H$10,000 at 100%)
23 weeks ago
csykes
predicted
Sonia Sotomayor (Judge) (H$886 at 89%)
23 weeks ago
saqwe
predicted
Sonia Sotomayor (Judge) (H$100 at 87%)
24 weeks ago
giladbarkai
predicted
Leah Ward Sears (Georgia Supreme Court) (H$20 at 0%)
24 weeks ago
giladbarkai predicted
Elena Kagan (currently Solicitor General) (H$20 at 1%)
Comments (4)
Comments: 4
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This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
(2009-05-01) — As speculation runs rampant about who President Barack Obama will pick to replace retiring Supreme Court Justice David Souter, two long-time associates of the president have downplayed rumors that their names might be on the president’s short list...
http://www.scrappleface.com/?p=3626
Washington Examiner 6/30/09 5:55 AM
‘President Obama's Supreme Court nominee, Judge Sonia Sotomayor, announced today she may sue her potential future colleagues for racial bias over yesterday's 5-4 ruling that overturned her own decision in the New Haven fire fighters discrimination lawsuit...
Sotomayor accused the high court's "Constitutional literalists" of bias and an "abject lack of wisdom" in tossing out the 2nd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals' prior ruling in the case which she joined...
"The court's rejection of my opinion proves, ipso facto, the kind of bias that President Obama will eliminate by placing me on the court," she said. "The all-male, non-Latino court majority lacks the sympathy to set aside the cold rationality of the Constitution for the good of the people."’
The rest of the story:
http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/columns/Sotomayor-may-sue-SCOTUS-for-overturning-New-Haven-ruling-7899575.html
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