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Will COLUMBUS, N.M. the dusty little border town have a Mexican drug war before December?

Background: COLUMBUS, N.M. - This dusty little border town with almost no visible means of support has been seeing something of a boom in the past year: Brand-new Lincoln Navigators and Cadillac Escalades with flashy wheel rims are parked just off the bleak main drag. Homes are selling quickly, sometimes for cash.

The source of this sudden wealth? An influx of Mexican drug smugglers, investigators say.

The smugglers are fleeing the Mexican army's occupation of the town of Palomas, on the other side of the U.S.-Mexico border fence, and settling in Columbus, where there has been a law enforcement vacuum. The four-man police force in Columbus has turned over seven times in three years because of scandal or apathy.

"We know the names of the people," said Luna County Sheriff Raymond Cobos, who is based in Deming, 35 miles away. "I know that if I were a person involved in criminal activity, whether it's drug-related, human smuggling related, I certainly would welcome the absence of police."http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090501/ap_on_re_us/us_drug_smugglers__town

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
6%
No
94%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 30th Dec 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Fri 1st May 12:21pm PST by blacksoapman

Suspend date: Wed 30th Dec 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (13)

14 weeks ago
reyna_1992 predicted No (H$100 at 58%)
14 weeks ago
bout3fitty predicted No (H$1,000 at 57%)
14 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted No (H$1,000 at 55%)
15 weeks ago
frogchop predicted No (H$1,000 at 53%)
16 weeks ago
jhc360 predicted No (H$20 at 52%)

Comments (3)

  1 frank2877
I guess Pancho Villa's 1916 raid doesn't count :-) http://web.nmsu.edu/~publhist/colhist.htm
posted 29 weeks ago
  2 frank2877
How big does the shootout have to be to be declared a "Drug War"?
posted 29 weeks ago
I guess a shoot out with Mexican drug cartel member it should make the News with the town being so small
posted 29 weeks ago

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score: 10
Drug smugglers from Mexico move into NM town

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