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Will Tom Ridge run for Arlen Specter's Senate seat in the 2010 election?

Background: Arlen Specter, long-time Republican Party Senator from Pennsylvania, facing an intra-party challenge from radical anti-tax crusader Pat Toomey, has changed his party affiliation to the Democratic Party. Toomey is still expected to run for the seat.

Whether Toomey winds up running, will Tom Ridge -- Former Pennsylvania Governor, and Secretary of Homeland Security -- run for Senate in 2010?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
7%
No
93%
Question suspends in 50 weeks

Suspend date: Tue 9th Nov 2010 4pm PST (50 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Created Fri 1st May 3:27pm PST by faisal

Suspend date: Tue 9th Nov 2010 4pm PST (50 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (7)

4 weeks ago
keyeshoveden[Power User] predicted No (H$10,000 at 90%)
6 weeks ago
dnicolo1 predicted No (H$20 at 88%)
26 weeks ago
mikehoncho predicted Yes (H$50 at 12%)
28 weeks ago
cherryice1988 predicted No (H$20 at 80%)
29 weeks ago
opie predicted No (H$50 at 80%)

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