How many of the following 12 Indices will close UP on Wednesday, May 6?
As reported, 10 of the 12 indices closed up, with only the BSE not doing so, and the Nikkei being closed again for a holiday.
Background:
Asia : Nikkei 225 (^N225), Hang Seng (^HSI), Straits Times (^STI) and BSE Sensex (^BSESN)
Europe: DAX (^GDAXI), CAC 40 (^FCHI), MIBTel (^MIBTEL) and FTSE 100 (^FTSE)
Americas: Dow Jones Industrial (^DJI), TSX (^GSPTSE), MerVal (^MERV), and NASDAQ (^IXIC)
The codes can be found/used at finance.yahoo.com
Initial odds set by approximating a gentle bell curve over the equal distribution for the 13 possible outcomes.
Credits to infernalmachine for the original question (http://www.hubdub.com/users/infernalmachine)
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. Preferred source: finance.yahoo.com
Not settled until after all markets final reportings - ie 2:20 pm PST
If any index is not active because of holiday etc, then it does not count toward UP tally.
| 0 - 2 |
| |||
| 3 - 5 |
| |||
| 6 |
| |||
| 7 - 9 |
| |||
| 10 - 12 |
|
- Activity: H$23,571 |
- Predictions: 146 |
Comments: 5
Suspend date: Wed 6th May 2009 6:30am PST
Settlement date: Thu 7th May 2009 8:40am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 6th May 2009 6:30am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: 0 - 2: 20%, 3 - 5: 23%, 6: 14%, 7 - 9: 23%, 10 - 12: 20%
Action history:
kruijs![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
: SYMBOL Tue. 5 Wed. 6
N225 0 0
HSI 16430.08 16834.57
STI 2074.35 2179.03
BSESN 12131.08 11952.75
GDAXI 4853.03 4880.71
FCHI 3225 3283.51
MIBTEL 15543 ?
FTSE 4336.9 4396.5
DJI 8410.65 8512.28
GSPTSE 9880.72 ?
MERV 1363.19 1409.91
IXIC 1754.12 1759.1
N225 is closed for public holidays. BSE closed down. MIBTEL and GSPTSE had no data for wednesday, though I'm not sure if this is correct. please verify.
all others closed up, which makes 8 + eventually 2.
To get the quotes, I use this link:
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?a=03&b=29&c=2009&d=04&e=9&f=2009&g=d&s=^SYMBOL
where SYMBOL is to be replaced with the code of the index (eg: DJI)
infernalmachine
: To add to kruijs's set. req
MibTel and TSE closed up
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=^MIBTEL
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/hp?s=^GSPTSE
infernalmachine: And to sum up, that means 1 closed, 1 down, 10 UP. 
bayoubear![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: As reported, 10 of the 12 indices closed up, with only the BSE not doing so, and the Nikkei being closed again for a holiday. 
Suspend date: Wed 6th May 2009 6:30am PST
Settlement date: Thu 7th May 2009 8:40am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 6th May 2009 6:30am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
Get widget!Predictions (146)
bgrigore
hoernla
predicted 10 - 12 (H$124 at 53%)
frogchop
jjth
predicted 6 (H$50 at 7%)Comments (5)
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http://www.hubdub.com/m40500/Hudbub_Derivates_Are_Hubdubers_collective_geniuses
5/4 * 79 - 25 = 73.75 for today.
S = (5/4) * 79 - 25 = 73.75
three day average is: 56.88
we can do better! (although this would be enough)
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