kruijs
How many of the following 12 Indices will close UP on Friday, May 8?
10 out of 12 indices closed up (all but Straits Times and BSE Sensex)
Background:
Asia : Nikkei 225 (^N225), Hang Seng (^HSI), Straits Times (^STI) and BSE Sensex (^BSESN)
Europe: DAX (^GDAXI), CAC 40 (^FCHI), MIBTel (^MIBTEL) and FTSE 100 (^FTSE)
Americas: Dow Jones Industrial (^DJI), TSX (^GSPTSE), MerVal (^MERV), and NASDAQ (^IXIC)
The codes can be found/used at finance.yahoo.com
Initial odds set by approximating a gentle bell curve over the equal distribution for the 13 possible outcomes.
Credits to infernalmachine for the original question (http://www.hubdub.com/users/infernalmachine)
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. Preferred source: finance.yahoo.com
Not settled until after all markets final reportings - ie 2:20 pm PST
If any index is not active because of holiday etc, then it does not count toward UP tally.
| 0 - 2 |
| |||
| 3 - 5 |
| |||
| 6 |
| |||
| 7 - 9 |
| |||
| 10 - 12 |
|
- Activity: H$13,820 |
- Predictions: 98 |
Comments: 9
Suspend date: Fri 8th May 6:30am PST
Settlement date: Sun 10th May 4:15pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 8th May 6:30am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: 0 - 2: 20%, 3 - 5: 23%, 6: 14%, 7 - 9: 23%, 10 - 12: 20%
Action history:
infernalmachine![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
: 10 closed up. See comment 5 for a table with each market's details and even a link to Yahoo Finance history. (Needs some work, I know. I'm currently working on an automated manner of gather all these details and constructing a table out of them. 
bayoubear![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: 10 out of 12 indices closed up (all but Straits Times and BSE Sensex) 
Suspend date: Fri 8th May 6:30am PST
Settlement date: Sun 10th May 4:15pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 8th May 6:30am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
Get widget!Predictions (98)
santiagomdq
predicted 10 - 12 (H$100 at 48%)
predicted 3 - 5 (H$20 at 6%)
predicted 10 - 12 (H$20 at 47%)
predicted 10 - 12 (H$500 at 44%)Comments (9)
Stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real news stories! Win more if you're right and climb the leaderboards Learn more...
Related Tags
http://www.hubdub.com/m40500/Hudbub_Derivates_Are_Hubdubers_collective_geniuses
It didn't like the semi-colon after the ampersand code.
Last try ;-)
Please log in or join to add a comment