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What is the future of T-Mobile UK?

Suspended

deal may be in the works

Background:

Background: Deutsche Telekom are apparently under pressure to dispose of their under-performing T-Mobile UK subsidiary.
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/3bfea13e-36b1-11de-af40-00144feabdc0.html

Speculation is that it could be sold to France Telecom, owners of Orange, which might not be allowed due to competition rules, the same is true of the other mobile operators.

Or there could be a tie-up, merger with or sale to Hutchinson who run '3' and doesn't have a 2G network

Or will they stick with it or just disappear entirely (other phone companies such as Virgin use T's network so this would be unlikely)

What will happen to T-Mobile UK by the end of the year?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. Any sale/merger will need to be confirmed by the regulatory authorities before payout
(partial sales count, but only if they take a control of the company)

 
Forecast history %
Sale to France Telecom (Orange)
77%
Sale/tie-up with Hutchinson ('3')
5%
Sale to/merge with O2, Vodafone, Virgin, BT
7%
Sale to/merge with someone else
4%
It stays owned by Deutsche Telekom
6%
It closes down
1%
Predictions on this question are temporarily suspended

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Sale to France Telecom (Orange): 10%, Sale/tie-up with Hutchinson ('3'): 25%, Sale to/merge with O2, Vodafone, Virgin, BT: 10%, Sale to/merge with someone else: 20%, It stays owned by Deutsche Telekom: 30%, It closes down: 5%

Action history:

Created Sun 3rd May 2:57am PST by scary
Settlement requested Tue 8th Sep 2:06pm PST by vincentlaw13: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/8243226.stm
Suspended Wed 9th Sep 2:24am PST by bayoubear[Admin]: deal may be in the works

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (50)

10 weeks ago
lenny19 predicted Sale to France Telecom (Orange) (H$436 at 76%)
10 weeks ago
schnerbazoink predicted Sale to France Telecom (Orange) (H$50 at 75%)
10 weeks ago
anifersgirl predicted Sale to France Telecom (Orange) (H$50 at 74%)
10 weeks ago
anifersgirl predicted It stays owned by Deutsche Telekom (H$20 at 7%)
10 weeks ago
lokman120 predicted Sale to France Telecom (Orange) (H$24 at 82%)

Comments (3)

Well I think we all know were this is going!!!
posted 10 weeks ago
  2 bayoubear[Admin]
From a news report at <<Page last updated at 13:35 GMT, Tuesday, 8 September 2009 14:35 UK>>
"T-Mobile and Orange plan to merge their UK businesses, creating a mobile phone giant with 28.4 million customers.

If completed, a deal between Deutsche Telekom's T-Mobile and Orange owner France Telecom would see a firm with sales of 9.4bn euros (£8.2bn; $13.5bn)."

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/8243226.stm

Question conditions require this one to not be settled until approvals have been given, but it would seem proper to suspend it and settle on the basis of the time of the referenced news when it is time.
posted 10 weeks ago
EU regulators may not allow the sale so might still be bought from some other company as not getting confirmed/denied until November
posted 10 weeks ago

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