Net worth: H$1,000

Guest:Cash: 1,000 Predictions: 0

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Created Mon 4th May 3:56pm PST by

buckeyetom Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,698,408)

Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,698,408)

Will an Extremist group obtain a Nuclear weapon from Pakistan's arsenal this year?

Background: The Taliban and Al Qaeda are strong in Pakistan. It was recently reported that Pakistan does not know exactly where all their nuclear weapons are. Given this lapse of security and the escalation of battles between the Taliban and the Pakistani army there is a chance that the Taliban or another extremist group could get their hands on one or more of these weapons. Will they do it in 2009?

Will settle as YES if Any nuclear weapon is reported to have been snatched from Pakistani control.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Category Editor Clarification: for purposes of this market, the major mainstream news source(s) used here for settlement must be based outside of Pakistan; and official but unverified Pakistan government statements will not be used as a basis for settlement.

Forecast history %

Yes

8%

No

92%

Question suspends in 5 weeks

Activity: H$25,726
Predictions: 38
Comments: 9

Suspend date: Tue 29th Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Created Mon 4th May 3:56pm PST by

buckeyetom Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,698,408)

Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,698,408)

Changed Settlement info Wed 6th May 4:07am PST by

sqlman [Admin]

[Admin]

Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,309,349)

... a major mainstream news source. <br/> <br/> <b>Category Editor Clarification:</b> for purposes of this market, the major mainstream news source(s) used here for settlement must be based outside of Pakistan; and official but unverified Pakistan government statements will not be used as a basis for settlement.

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Suspend date: Tue 29th Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

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Predictions (38)

6 days ago

nyharel Level 13, Psychic (H$96,601)

Level 13, Psychic (H$96,601)

predicted No (H$20 at 92%)

1 week ago

nyharel Level 13, Psychic (H$96,601)

Level 13, Psychic (H$96,601)

predicted No (H$200 at 92%)

2 weeks ago

nyharel Level 13, Psychic (H$96,601)

Level 13, Psychic (H$96,601)

predicted No (H$5,000 at 91%)

2 weeks ago

nyharel Level 13, Psychic (H$96,601)

Level 13, Psychic (H$96,601)

predicted No (H$4,000 at 89%)

2 weeks ago

nyharel Level 13, Psychic (H$96,601)

Level 13, Psychic (H$96,601)

predicted No (H$760 at 87%)

Comments (9)

1

cheesenips Level 16, Oracle (H$562,761)

Level 16, Oracle (H$562,761)

Great Q and I have no frigging idea! Thanks buckeyetom and also H for bringing these matters to our attention-- I don't well understand the context or have any power to do anything anyway, but you never know who might be reading this stuff. That's not a code, it's just a dumb opinion. I'll make a random bet to get your action going.

posted 28 weeks ago

2

cookietime Level 15, Seer (H$292,355)

Level 15, Seer (H$292,355)

I'm betting no and also crossing my fingers...

posted 28 weeks ago

3

chatarra Level 16, Oracle (H$635,507)

Level 16, Oracle (H$635,507)

Very interesting question, Tom.
I am betting with the odds and hoping that I am very wrong.
All the people that seem to know something about it, say that Pakistan is where the world turns as of today.
Scary stuff indeed.

posted 28 weeks ago

4

sqlman [Admin]

[Admin]

Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,309,349)

Oh, wouldn't that be fun? Make the whole global swine flu thing seem about as important and potentially lethal as a case of the sniffles... :-(

posted 28 weeks ago

5

buckeyetom Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,698,408)

Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,698,408)

All I can say is to support our military, trust in God and believe that the good people will win. The extremist's of the world are a-ho...,.,s

posted 28 weeks ago

6

bigken1 Level 15, Seer (H$357,964)

Level 15, Seer (H$357,964)

Perhaps I am jaded, or cynical, but my thinking is that even if this were to occur, not too many people would be announcing it.. I think the messenger would be shot. So, the answer is NO.. Whether or not the true answer is yes.

posted 28 weeks ago

7

sqlman [Admin]

[Admin]

Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,309,349)

@bucekeyetom: I definitely support the military...but those who'd do such a thing as surreptitiously procure a thermonuclear weapon believe every bit as strongly as we do that they are the "good people"...and they trust in their god, as well.

posted 28 weeks ago

8

conspiracy2riot Level 14, Prophet (H$100,047)

Level 14, Prophet (H$100,047)

love the Q buckeye, but i do have to weigh in here with regard to your comment.

seems to me that if you HAVE a strong faith in God, a strong military wouldn't be necessary. does one really need monster bombs to back up faith?

just sayin'....I can't recall Jesus hoarding weapons and training anyone militarily to do his work....

posted 28 weeks ago

9

frogchop Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,682,284)

Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,682,284)

WWJB? Who would Jesus bomb?

posted 26 weeks ago

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