Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
PoliticsSportEntertainmentWorldBusinessTechnologyScienceGeneral

will pakistan fall to the taliban by aug 1?

Settled as No

Hasn't happened.

Background:

Background: here's another Q, hopefully this will pass the censors and not get voided cause of a bias against me...pakistan agreed to "turn over" the swat valley to the taliban by imposing sharia law...taliban then started taking over territory closer to the capital islamabad...now their so-called peace agreement has apparently been thrown by the wayside and fighting has commenced...will the taliban take over the country?...for simplicity, this will be settled depending on whether islamabad is taken over, not the whole of the country....

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
1%
No
99%
Settled as No on Sun 2nd Aug 8am PST

Suspend date: Thu 30th Jul 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 2nd Aug 8am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 30th Jul 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 5%

Action history:

Created Tue 5th May 4:49pm PST by pics4d
Suspended Thu 30th Jul 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'No' Sun 2nd Aug 8am PST by sqlman[Admin]: Hasn't happened.

Suspend date: Thu 30th Jul 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 2nd Aug 8am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 30th Jul 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (26)

16 weeks ago
undercontrol predicted Yes (H$10 at 1%)
16 weeks ago
undercontrol predicted No (H$20 at 99%)
16 weeks ago
farrelly predicted No (H$100 at 99%)
16 weeks ago
whoami predicted No (H$100 at 99%)
17 weeks ago
fenricstoast predicted Yes (H$10 at 1%)

Comments (1)

EXCLUSIVE: Taliban buying children for suicide bombers
http://washingtontimes.com/news/2009/jul/02/taliban-buying-children-to-serve-as-suicide-bomber/print/

Pakistan's top Taliban leader, Baitullah Mehsud, is buying children as young as 7 to serve as suicide bombers in the growing spate of attacks against Pakistani, Afghan and U.S. targets, U.S. Defense Department and Pakistani officials say.

A Pakistani official, who spoke on the condition that he not be named because of the sensitive nature of the topic, said the going price for child bombers was $7,000 to $14,000 - huge sums in Pakistan, where per-capita income is about $2,600 a year.

"[Mehsud] has turned suicide bombing into a production output, not unlike [the way] Toyota outputs cars," a U.S. Defense Department official told reporters recently. He spoke on the condition that he not be named because of ongoing intelligence efforts to catch Mehsud, a prime target for a U.S. and Pakistani anti-Taliban campaign.

An apparent U.S. effort to kill Mehsud last week failed. On Sunday, the Pakistani government offered a reward of about $615,300 for information leading to the capture of Mehsud, dead or alive. The U.S. State Department has offered a bounty of $5 million for Mehsud, who is thought to be hiding in the tribal areas near the Afghan border.

Suicide bombings have become frequent in Pakistan in the past year, including high-profile attacks on hotels frequented by Westerners, as well as on Pakistani police and military installations. There has also been a spate of such attacks directed at U.S.-led forces in Afghanistan.

The U.S. official said the price depends on how quickly the bomber is needed and how close the child is expected to get to the target.

"[Mehsud] produces these suicide bombers, which are sold or bartered, which can be used by [Afghan Taliban leader Mullah] Omar's Taliban or ... other groups," the U.S. official said.

In some cases, he said, the children are kidnapped and then sold to Mehsud.

Using child suicide bombers "is the grim reality of the Taliban Frankenstein that now threatens to overwhelm the Pakistani state," said Bruce Riedel, a Brookings Institution scholar who chaired a review of Pakistan-Afghanistan strategy for President Obama.

Efforts to reach a spokesman for Mehsud were not successful.

The use of children in war is not unusual in Afghanistan or the tribal regions of Pakistan. During the Soviet occupation of Afghanistan, many pre-adolescent boys became mujahedeen or freedom fighters.

There is a different cultural perspective here about the age at which a boy becomes a man, said Sher, a former Afghan freedom fighter who asked to be identified only by his first name to protect himself against Taliban retribution.

"Fighting is not the issue," Sher, who took up arms against the Russians at age 13, told The Washington Times by phone.

"What is unusual is making these young fighters into suicide bombers," he said. "That was not common in Afghanistan, not even in the past. These children are brainwashed to believe things that are not even true. It is a crime against God."

In other conflicts, such as that between Israel and the Palestinians, suicide bombers are generally older, at least in their late teens or early 20s.
[More at the link...]
posted 20 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

Stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real news stories! Win more if you're right and climb the leaderboards Learn more...

Name
Email
New password
By joining you are agreeing to our terms of service

Related News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags


score: 10
Pakistan bombs Taliban in Swat

MINGORA, Pakistan (Reuters) - Pakistani aircraft bombed Taliban positions in Swat Friday, a day after the prime minister ordered the military to eliminate terrorists and on the heels of a commitment to

score: 10
Resourceful Taliban milk the land

By Animesh Roul SWAT VALLEY - The Taliban resurgence in Pakistan's lawless provinces and its unhindered march towards the heartland of the restive country is fueled by an ever increasing economic lifeline. Unlike Afghanistan's Taliban, which

score: 10
Analysis: Pakistan still learning how to fight insurgents

If the rugged borderlands of Afghanistan and Pakistan were ravaged by a single insurgency waged by a united Taliban, the fighting would be easier to understand. Instead, a multitude of armed groups strike across this vast area, with

score: 10
Why the Obama Administration is So Worried About Pakistan

The Taliban are advancing in Pakistan and it's unclear whether the government can push them back The Obama administration is sounding a loud alarm over deteriorating security in Pakistan, particularly the

score: 10
Pakistan's security forces kill 20 more militants in military offensive

British PM visiting Pakistan amid diplomatic tension Pakistan hands over body of beheaded Polish engineer to envoy Pakistan military: Scores of militants killed in operation Official: Pakistani gov't forced to take action against

Related Tags