Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
PoliticsSportEntertainmentWorldBusinessTechnologyScienceGeneral

Will Australia have a double dissolution before the next election?

Background: Australia's Labor Government does not have a Senate majority, which means it must rely on either the Opposition or the minor parties to pass legislation. When an impasse is reached, the governement can either compromise or call a double dissolution to break the deadlock.

The last double dissolution was in 1987 and the most controversial was the Whitlam dismissal in 1975.

Double dissolution: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Double_dissolution

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
No double dissolution
67%
Double dissolution before the end of 2009
21%
Double dissolution in 2010
12%
Question suspends in 37 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 11th Aug 2010 5:59am PST (37 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: No double dissolution: 50%, Double dissolution before the end of 2009: 25%, Double dissolution in 2010: 25%

Action history:

Created Tue 5th May 7:39pm PST by carpet

Suspend date: Wed 11th Aug 2010 5:59am PST (37 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (26)

1 week ago
steveb predicted No double dissolution (H$100 at 66%)
1 week ago
downunderdave predicted Double dissolution in 2010 (H$50 at 12%)
3 weeks ago
downunderdave predicted No double dissolution (H$100 at 67%)
3 weeks ago
downunderdave predicted Double dissolution in 2010 (H$20 at 11%)
6 weeks ago
corbelle predicted No double dissolution (H$100 at 71%)

Comments (6)

  1 curios
damn good question u beat me to it good on ya , only my opinion ,
Rudd is doing a good job but is being retard by the senate and i believe he he will call a double dissolution .while the opposition is on the slide, will happen after the budget has been adopted.
posted 28 weeks ago
  2 curios
love your choice of pics.
what did he say , may well he say ................. cause no one will save kerrs kerr or words to that effect.
posted 28 weeks ago
  3 carpet
Big call curios! I don't see anything on the horizon that will give Rudd a "mandate" to call a double dissolution. As a first term government I'll think they'll play it safe and only pull the trigger if some of their big ticket legislation gets knocked back.
posted 28 weeks ago
  4 carpet
I've worked out that your choice of pics goes a long way towards people taking a punt on your questions! ;^)
posted 28 weeks ago
  5 carpet
Dang, that typo in the text is going to bug me for the next year and a half!
posted 28 weeks ago
  6 curios
from to days press.
THE Prime Minister has threatened an early election if the Opposition refuses to support his 2009-10 budget through the Senate, warning last night he would not tolerate "cherry-picking" and would preserve its financial integrity.

A day after Wayne Swan handed down the biggest deficit since World War II, the Opposition rounded on the Government's economic assumptions, which predict a swift recovery in government finances after the end of the global recession.

Family First senator Steve Fielding has called on the Government to immediately debate a new bill on its alcopops legislation, which was originally defeated in March.

Instead, the Government is giving itself until after June 18 to reintroduce the Bill, which could potentially make it a trigger for a double dissolution election if it fails again.
posted 27 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

Stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real news stories! Win more if you're right and climb the leaderboards Learn more...

Name
Email
New password
By joining you are agreeing to our terms of service

Related News
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags


score: 10
Neither party ready for an early election for months

Following Kevin Rudd's veiled threat on Wednesday to consider an early election should budget measures or other key pieces of legislation be blocked by the Senate, strategists from both sides said they would not be ready for some months yet. The Prime

score: 10
Turnbull in high-stakes challenge

to form, the Opposition Leader's reply to the budget was a bold rejection of Prime Minister Kevin Rudd's demand that all measures be passed or he would not rule out a double dissolution and an early election. Mr Turnbull has called Mr Rudd's bluff by

score: 10
Rudd not ready for election: Turnbull

Opposition Leader Malcolm Turnbull says he's ready to fight an early election over the coalition's decision to block Labor's plan to slash private health insurance rebates. Prime Minister Kevin Rudd has suggested he'd be prepared to call a double

score: 10
Turnbull: I can save $2bn from Budget

12:01am MALCOLM Turnbull called the Government's early election bluff last night by pledging to gut $2 billion in Budget savings. The Opposition Leader said the Coalition would oppose legislation to cut private health insurance rebates to higher income

score: 10
Turnbull sets up health showdown

delivers his speech to Parliament House. Picture: Kym Smith Turnbull says he won't support health plan Says Rudd Budget creates 'sea of red ink' MALCOLM Turnbull says he will oppose the Government's move to slash private health insurance rebates