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How many people will Obama replace on the Supreme Court?

Background: This will include his current term and a possible second term. This will only include people confirmed by the Senate.

He has one in the pipeline right now, and two more quite possible to go within his first term. If he gets elected again, there is a *real* possibility he could be slated to replace up to three more. He could become the most influential person in the history of the Supreme Court and could lock down Roe v. Wade, patents rights, health care, individual freedom, and more.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
One
8%
Two
18%
Three
28%
Four
39%
Five
5%
Six or more
2%
Question suspends in 6 years

Suspend date: Fri 20th Jan 2017 11:59pm PST (6 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: One: 3%, Two: 19%, Three: 35%, Four: 30%, Five: 10%, Six or more: 3%

Action history:

Created Wed 6th May 2009 8:58pm PST by eliminati

Suspend date: Fri 20th Jan 2017 11:59pm PST (6 years to go) details

 

Predictions (87)

4 weeks ago
pics4d predicted One (H$250 at 5%)
4 weeks ago
phred predicted Three (H$100 at 28%)
4 weeks ago
eliminati predicted Three (H$500 at 25%)
5 weeks ago
coolkraft predicted Two (H$100 at 20%)
12 weeks ago
phred predicted Three (H$100 at 22%)

Comments (1)

All of them...by executive order.
posted 18 weeks ago

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