Created Thu 7th May 2009 11:03am PST by 
conspiracy2riot
conspiracy2riot 
Will anyone beat Michelle Bachman in Minnesota's 6th District in 2010?
Background: Michele Bachmann represents the most Republican-friendly congressional district in Minnesota. John McCain carried the area by eight percentage points in 2008 — the largest spread in the state. Two years earlier Gov. Tim Pawlenty swamped DFLer Mike Hatch by nearly 20 points in the 6th Congressional District. The Cook Partisan Voting Index gives the GOP a seven-point advantage in the area.
But in recent weeks Bachmann has continued to draw national headlines for her often daffy pronouncements. She derided a proposed expansion of Americorps as “politically correct re-education camps” and called on Minnesotans to become “armed and dangerous” in resisting President Obama’s energy policies. Her recent antics once again have Democrats salivating at the prospect of knocking off Bachmann.
At the top of the list of possible contenders for 2010 is her 2008 DFL opponent Elwyn Tinklenberg. The former state transportation commissioner, who lost to Bachmann by three percentage points, is all but declaring himself a candidate.
While Tinklenberg seems the most likely to take a run at Bachmann, other names are being floated as possible contenders. At the top of the list: state Sen. Tarryl Clark. The Assistant Majority Leader is seen as a rising star in DFL circles and is frequently mentioned as a possible 2010 gubernatorial contender. But with a bloated crop of candidates eyeing the Governor’s mansion, Clark may find the 6th Congressional District race more enticing.
But in recent weeks Bachmann has continued to draw national headlines for her often daffy pronouncements. She derided a proposed expansion of Americorps as “politically correct re-education camps” and called on Minnesotans to become “armed and dangerous” in resisting President Obama’s energy policies. Her recent antics once again have Democrats salivating at the prospect of knocking off Bachmann.
At the top of the list of possible contenders for 2010 is her 2008 DFL opponent Elwyn Tinklenberg. The former state transportation commissioner, who lost to Bachmann by three percentage points, is all but declaring himself a candidate.
While Tinklenberg seems the most likely to take a run at Bachmann, other names are being floated as possible contenders. At the top of the list: state Sen. Tarryl Clark. The Assistant Majority Leader is seen as a rising star in DFL circles and is frequently mentioned as a possible 2010 gubernatorial contender. But with a bloated crop of candidates eyeing the Governor’s mansion, Clark may find the 6th Congressional District race more enticing.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| Elwyn Tinklenberg - Democrat |
| ||||
| Tarryl Clark - Democrat |
| ||||
| Someone else - belonging to any party |
| ||||
| Bachman manages to hold onto her seat |
|
Question suspends in 32 weeks
- Activity: H$52,098 |
- Predictions: 119 |
Comments: 6
Suspend date: Mon 1st Nov 3:59pm PST (32 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Elwyn Tinklenberg - Democrat: 20%, Tarryl Clark - Democrat: 20%, Someone else - belonging to any party: 15%, Bachman manages to hold onto her seat: 45%
Action history:
Created Thu 7th May 2009 11:03am PST by conspiracy2riot
conspiracy2riot 
Suspend date: Mon 1st Nov 3:59pm PST (32 weeks to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (119)
chett
predicted Bachman manages to hold onto her seat (H$100 at 67%)
bigh165
predicted Elwyn Tinklenberg - Democrat (H$500 at 7%)Comments (6)
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So yeah, it was a typo but there is more to the story, hehe.
http://minnesotaindependent.com/55222/majority-of-minnesotans-embarrassed-by-bachmann
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