Created Thu 14th May 2009 10:51am PST by 
hfl13
hfl13 
Will Oprah catch Ellen on Twitter by August 28th?
Settled as No
Settled under the 99.9% rule:
May 14th Ellen leads by 477K
July 17th Ellen leads by 609K
Aug 2nd Ellen leads by 688K
www.tweetrace.com gives Ellen average two more followers/minute = 2880/day
Background:
Background: Today Oprah made her million followers. (When) will Oprah outgrow Ellen? August 28th is included in this contest. Will it happen this time?
Ellen http://twitter.com/theellenshow
917K ---> 1054K (+137K) ---> 1478K (+424K)
Oprah http://twitter.com/oprah
260K ---> 482K (+222K) ---> 1001K (+519K)
Ellen http://twitter.com/theellenshow
917K ---> 1054K (+137K) ---> 1478K (+424K)
Oprah http://twitter.com/oprah
260K ---> 482K (+222K) ---> 1001K (+519K)
Settlement details:As reported by http://www.tweetrace.com/ at 00:05 CET on August 29th
Forecast history %
| Yes |
| |||
| No |
|
Settled as No on Mon 3rd Aug 2009 1:39am PST
- Activity: H$75,344 |
- Predictions: 35 |
Comments: 3
Suspend date: Mon 24th Aug 2009 3:05pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 3rd Aug 2009 1:39am PST
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 25%
Action history:
Created Thu 14th May 2009 10:51am PST by hfl13
hfl13
Settlement requested Sun 19th Jul 2009 2:15am PST by hfl13: May 14th Ellen leads by 477K
July 17th Ellen leads by 609K
21 hours ago it was only 603K
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Topic/The_perfect_Settlement_date_547#comment_89930
www.tweetrace.com gives Ellen average two more followers/minute = 2880/day
2.2.6 Settlement
Where possible we like to settle questions early. If something is 99.9% certain then we will tend to settle it. Every one in a 1,000 times we get it wrong we will also pay-out on the correct outcome.
http://www.hubdub.com/public/rules
Please settle now or sooner than the 28th of August.
I would appreciate a comment on my forum topic concerning early settlement.
hfl13: May 14th Ellen leads by 477K
July 17th Ellen leads by 609K
21 hours ago it was only 603K
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Topic/The_perfect_Settlement_date_547#comment_89930
www.tweetrace.com gives Ellen average two more followers/minute = 2880/day
2.2.6 Settlement
Where possible we like to settle questions early. If something is 99.9% certain then we will tend to settle it. Every one in a 1,000 times we get it wrong we will also pay-out on the correct outcome.
http://www.hubdub.com/public/rules
Please settle now or sooner than the 28th of August.
I would appreciate a comment on my forum topic concerning early settlement.
Settled as 'No' Mon 3rd Aug 2009 1:39am PST by 
nigeleccles![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: Settled under the 99.9% rule:
May 14th Ellen leads by 477K
July 17th Ellen leads by 609K
Aug 2nd Ellen leads by 688K
www.tweetrace.com gives Ellen average two more followers/minute = 2880/day
nigeleccles: Settled under the 99.9% rule:
May 14th Ellen leads by 477K
July 17th Ellen leads by 609K
Aug 2nd Ellen leads by 688K
www.tweetrace.com gives Ellen average two more followers/minute = 2880/day
Suspend date: Mon 24th Aug 2009 3:05pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 3rd Aug 2009 1:39am PST details 
Get widget!Predictions (35)
gtown![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted No (H$10,000 at 97%)
bds321
predicted Yes (H$100 at 4%)
creepydude
predicted Yes (H$50 at 4%)Comments (3)
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