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Will the United States recognize the state of Palestine?

Background: Palestine, or the Palestinian territories, is recognized as a state by 101 nations. Will the United States recognize Palestine as a state by the last day of President Obama's first term in office?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
37%
No
63%
Question suspends in 2 years

Suspend date: Sat 19th Jan 2013 11:59pm PST (2 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%

Action history:

Created Mon 18th May 2009 3:53pm PST by noisymouse

Suspend date: Sat 19th Jan 2013 11:59pm PST (2 years to go) details

 

Predictions (45)

1 week ago
poetryanne predicted Yes (H$100 at 36%)
6 weeks ago
pics4d predicted No (H$2,000 at 66%)
9 weeks ago
shan128 predicted No (H$100 at 67%)
9 weeks ago
clevercog predicted No (H$20 at 67%)
10 weeks ago
joffi predicted No (H$53 at 67%)

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