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Will the United States recognize the state of Palestine?

Background: Palestine, or the Palestinian territories, is recognized as a state by 101 nations. Will the United States recognize Palestine as a state by the last day of President Obama's first term in office?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
40%
No
60%
Question suspends in 3 years

Suspend date: Sat 19th Jan 2013 11:59pm PST (3 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%

Action history:

Created Mon 18th May 3:53pm PST by noisymouse

Suspend date: Sat 19th Jan 2013 11:59pm PST (3 years to go) details

 

Predictions (35)

2 weeks ago
tkui predicted No (H$3 at 60%)
2 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted Yes (H$100 at 40%)
4 weeks ago
josecarrasco predicted No (H$100 at 61%)
7 weeks ago
unicycleguy1 predicted Yes (H$44 at 39%)
7 weeks ago
tkui predicted No (H$20 at 61%)

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