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Will the kiwi couple fleeing with $10m bank error money be caught by the end of June?

Settled as No

No reports of the couple yet being caught

Background:

Background: A rotorua couple who owned a local service station ran out of money last month and had to close their doors. But in an awesome twist, $10 million dollars landed in their bank account yesterday. What would you do? They transferred the money and are believed to have fled the country. As you'd expect, the police are now after them. So will this modern day Bonnie and Clyde be caught by the end of June, or can they evade capture?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
3%
No
97%
Settled as No on Sat 4th Jul 8:34am PST

Suspend date: Tue 30th Jun 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 4th Jul 8:34am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 30th Jun 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Wed 20th May 4:40pm PST by cookietime
Suspended Tue 30th Jun 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Tue 30th Jun 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'No' Sat 4th Jul 8:34am PST by ryanj: No reports of the couple yet being caught

Suspend date: Tue 30th Jun 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 4th Jul 8:34am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 30th Jun 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (102)

20 weeks ago
tisha[Admin] predicted No (H$10,000 at 96%)
20 weeks ago
martianman predicted No (H$68 at 94%)
20 weeks ago
tgallag2 predicted No (H$2,000 at 94%)
21 weeks ago
keyeshoveden[Power User] predicted No (H$10,000 at 92%)
22 weeks ago
simonbourne predicted No (H$100 at 90%)

Comments (30)

Here's the full story, I reckon $10 million could buy you a lot of 'invisibility'. We'll see.....

http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/crime/2428243/Couple-missing-after-10m-bank-bungle
posted 26 weeks ago
  2 chatarra
Part of me is hoping that they find paradise, but I am wagering that 10M will bring out the local private investigators.
posted 26 weeks ago
I reckon good on 'em, we kiwis are generally an honest bunch, but I'm picking we'll swing in behind the little guy on this one - there's been a lot of bad press about the big banks recently, and most of ours are australian owned....
posted 26 weeks ago
They have headed to China apparently, with Westpac hard on their heels!!

http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/crime/2428243/Couple-missing-after-10m-bank-bungle
posted 26 weeks ago
Just had a look at this on the news, apparently the whole extended family has done a runner - mom, in laws, the works...looks like they left in a hurry too, half eaten peanut bags on the coffee table etc...
posted 26 weeks ago
  6 chatarra
I am afraid that taking the whole extended family will be the undoing of this windfall.
My wife is the same way though. She would not want to live without her family nearby.
posted 26 weeks ago
This falls into the category of financial crimes that I just don't understand. Whenever people get money for nothing the government always prosecutes them. Madoff just convinced people to give him money. What's wrong with that? This couple just got lucky. Why prosecute? Even getting a free ice cream is apparently a crime. http://www.hubdub.com/m42072/Will_Police_find_Sweettalker_who_uses_fake_coin_to_buy_ice_cream

Next thing you know the injustice system will be prosecuting lottery winners.
posted 26 weeks ago
  8 chatarra
What is the tax rate on lottery winnings anyways?
Wait till the Obama Regime discovers that they are not going to pull in needed taxes by rewarding failure, and penalizing business.

Lottery taxes will go through the friggin roof.
posted 26 weeks ago
  9 bigken1
Arrrghh, cookie, I just sent a question in on this same topic. Somehow didn't catch yours. I used "new zealand couple", not kiwis.. Will have to cancel.. Or maybe change somehow... argghh.

Nice question!!

Arrghhh, will have to go back to pirate questions..
posted 26 weeks ago
  10 cookietime
YARGH Big ken, thats fine, yours asks for specific dates, so I reakon its different enough to avoid a void....also yours has a different $$$ amount!! There is quite a lot of confusion about how much money they actually made off with...
posted 26 weeks ago
  11 buckojo
These people are as good as caught already - my bet is they'll be rounded up before half of June is over.

Like chat says, 10 mil will buy alot of PI work. China? Gee, way to blend in effortlessly...


I wonder what sort of penalty gets applied - i bet they get the book thrown at them.



The lottery isnt taxed in Australia, is it different in NZ? :)
posted 26 weeks ago
  12 cookietime
I dont think the lottery is taxed here, but in a way our banking system is like a lottery, you pay outrageous bank fees for minor transactions, in the hope that one day the bank might put millions in your account...they should just legalise the whole process ;D
posted 26 weeks ago
  13 cookietime
...and in an update, it seems the bank got some of the money back, the couple still have around $4m, and are believed to be in hong kong...

http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/crime/2431280/Bank-confirms-its-chasing-3-8-million
posted 26 weeks ago
  14 chatarra
@Buckojo,
"The lottery isn't taxed in Australia, is it different in NZ? :) "

In the states, it varies by each state, but the average amount is about 40% being taxed.
posted 26 weeks ago
  15 buckojo
Hadley @ 14, that is the most beautifully random comment i have ever read. I had a Swatch in the 80's too, so your comments are accesible. I never, however, thought that my Swatch might be a fake, but now I am considering it, so your comment is also relevant. Nice!
posted 26 weeks ago
  16 cookietime
Apparently there is going to be a police update on this tomorrow morning (NZ time)
posted 25 weeks ago
  17 cookietime
Police have said they wont be charged with theft as the bank gave it over to them, but they will prob get charged with misuse of a computer...doesnt sound too bad?

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10574532
posted 25 weeks ago
  18 chatarra
Interesting definition of non-theft.
I always thought if you took something that did not belong to you, even by mistake, then you were guilty of theft,
unless you were willing to return it. Then just guilty of bad character. Silly me.

I once helped identify a carload of guys who were stealing some tires from the tire store next door to where I worked.
They knew that we had their license place and description, so they returned the tires, voluntarily.
Later, the police would not press charges because the tires were no longer missing.
:-(
posted 25 weeks ago
  19 chatarra
@Buckojo
I am not sure if your comment 15 is a response to my comment # 14 or not.
If it is, then I might politely recommend that you stay off the dope, while wagering on Hubdub.
It will help with your winning averages too.
:-)
posted 25 weeks ago
  20 johnno29
How on earth do you get $3.8m out of the country anyway. Can't the local cops just take it back?
posted 25 weeks ago
  21 chatarra
@Johnno29,
I always use a greasy shoehorn and a BIG suitcase.
J/K - I was wondering about the same thing.
posted 25 weeks ago
  22 johnno29
LOL, that's a lot of $100 notes! Keep an eye out for the Kiwis in Sumo suits.
posted 25 weeks ago
  23 cookietime
Hmmmm now the papers are saying the couple may have split up....I'm not sure how either of the 2 questions on this story will settle if only one is caught. I didn't think of that...we'll wait and see I guess?

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10574648
posted 25 weeks ago
  24 buckojo
Chat @ 19

staying off the dope has not helped me yet.

I was on multi screens and got mildly confused. Some great people have become mildly confused.

Many of them incidentally smoked dope. It can be intuitive to make a link between the two variables. But no matter how natural the argument, it alwasy helps to look beyond and query whether there is a famly history of mental illness, long times spent in confined spaces as a child, or a tendency towards pyromania, before conclusion.

Until that time, government policy in this area will remain ill thought out, ineffective, and unfair.
posted 25 weeks ago
  25 buckojo
chat @ 18

that is interesting. In Australia 'stealing' requires an intent to permanently deprive the owner of the property.

The probelms encountered with car theft (where that intent is usually absent) lead to legislation being passed modifying the law as to auto theft.

Also in Australia, you can defend a charge of stealing by relying on a statutory defence called 'honest claim of right' where you are not convicted if you held a genuine, though mistaken, belief in the right to deal with the property.

Given my massive losses on this question over the last 12 hours i am fully in favour of a voiding if the couple have spilt. They are now merely two individuals. like hitler and stalin.
posted 25 weeks ago
  26 chatarra
@Buckojo,
I must admist to being somewhat confused on a fairly regular basis. Sometimes it is because I jump to conclusions too frequently. But that aside, I am currently confused about car theft. If somebody takes a (any but their own) car, is not the intent to steal there as well? Seems as if they were intent on taking said automobile, unless they are confused too.

P.S. I wish I could retract the "dope" comment. I am clean now, but certainly abused in my youthful days, which are unfortunately way behind me.
;-)
posted 25 weeks ago
  27 cookietime
@ buckojo how did you manage to lose big on this question in the last 12 hours - the chart has barely moved?

Anyways, I've been thinking about this question and even if they have split up, I'd say it would settle as yes if they are both caught by the end of June (whether together or separately), settle as no if neither are caught, and be voided if the cops nab one but not the other. Sound fair?

Also, buckojo wasn't on crack, there was a spam message from Hadley who was trying to sell fake swatch watches or real swatch watches or nigerian pyramid schemes or something, but it got deleted...
posted 25 weeks ago
  28 buckojo
@ chat the problem is with the definition of stealing including the 1/ taking of the object and 2/ the intent to deprive on a permanent basis. If you just had 1/ then any taking could be stealing which would a practical nightmare (ie picking up someones pen or lighter and returning it immeditaley after use). So the definition needs an intent to deprive also. The laws are changed now for autos though.

@cookie sorry - i mean my losses on the question of which country they will be found/caught in - I thought asia was pretty good at about 30% but it plumeted to about 17% :(
posted 25 weeks ago
  29 rogerkni
If a bank randomly gave out lottery-type bonanzas (up to $100,000, say), it could offer a lower interest rate and/or take business from competitors.
posted 25 weeks ago

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