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Will any island population need to be relocated due to rising sea levels in 2009?

Background: Sea levels are predicted to rise -- will this be the year when an island population is forced to relocate due to rising seas? To settle as yes, an entire island will need to be evacuated indefinitely due to rising sea levels.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
13%
No
87%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%

Action history:

Created Thu 21st May 1:32pm PST by loren

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (29)

2 weeks ago
modigs2000 predicted No (H$50 at 87%)
3 weeks ago
aussieguy predicted No (H$100 at 87%)
5 weeks ago
kennyevitt predicted No (H$20 at 86%)
5 weeks ago
neopugg predicted No (H$20 at 86%)
7 weeks ago
rogerkni predicted Yes (H$100 at 14%)

Comments (3)

  1 kruijs[Power User]
It has already happened in 2009

Inhabitants of parts of New Guinea and Tuvalu have already been forced to moved from low-lying areas.

New Zealand has agreed to accept migrants from Tuvalu, which experts think will be completely submerged by the middle of the century. Canada is funding the relocation of residents from parts of Vanuatu affected by global warming.

The rising sea and eroding beaches caused the recent forced displacement of the people of the Carteret Islands, about 70 miles northeast of Papua New Guinea. The islands' 2,500 residents are moving to one of Papua New Guineas larger towns, Bougainville.

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2009/apr/19/rising-sea-levels-in-pacific-create-wave-of-migran/print/
posted 26 weeks ago
  2 kruijs[Power User]
About the semantics of this question: does it ask for
(a) the entire population of any island
- or -
(b) any (not the entire) population of an island
?
posted 26 weeks ago
  3 Erik
an entire island will need to be evacuated indefinitely due to rising sea levels.
posted 26 weeks ago

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