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Will a volcano erupt in the contiguous United States in 2009?

Background: No need for elaborate background here -- will a volcano erupt in the Lower 48, or won't it? Any volcano, any state, provided the media describes it as an "eruption."

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
11%
No
89%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%

Action history:

Created Thu 21st May 1:43pm PST by loren

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (27)

6 weeks ago
eddyambrosia predicted Yes (H$100 at 11%)
13 weeks ago
joey_bear predicted No (H$50 at 88%)
14 weeks ago
mikeo7b3 predicted No (H$100 at 88%)
14 weeks ago
indie1977 predicted Yes (H$20 at 12%)
14 weeks ago
indie1977 predicted Yes (H$22 at 12%)

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