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Will Apa summit Mount Everest (for the 20th time) before June 1, 2010?

Background: At about 8:00 am on May 21, 2009, Apa Sherpa summitted Mount Everest for the 19th time. The next highest total was 16 at the start of the spring climbing season.

Apa completed his latest summit as a member of Eco Everest Expedition. Expedition members retrieved approximately 5,000 kilograms of garbage from the mountain.

The expedition had its share of failure. A high altitude climber died in an avalanche. Two other members did not reach the summit.

Apa is believed to be 49 years old. He was born in Thame, Nepal, but now lives in the USA.

Additional information:
http://www.sltrib.com/ci_12416228
http://www.myrepublica.com/portal/index.php?action=news_details&news_id=5293
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Apa_Sherpa

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
72%
No
28%
Question suspends in 10 weeks

Suspend date: Mon 31st May 6am PST (10 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 70%

Action history:

Created Sun 24th May 2009 2:30pm PST by onedave[Power User]

Suspend date: Mon 31st May 6am PST (10 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (9)

37 weeks ago
philphan1 predicted No (H$20 at 28%)
38 weeks ago
bout3fitty predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 71%)
38 weeks ago
galad predicted Yes (H$50 at 70%)
40 weeks ago
capecodviking[Power User] predicted Yes (H$4 at 70%)
42 weeks ago
dingoh predicted Yes (H$20 at 70%)

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