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HSX: Will "Year One" earn at least $62m in the dom box office during first 4 weeks?

Settled as No

$41,192,481

Background:

Background: Our friends over at HSX (Hollywood Stock Exchange) have a webpage which lists the 4 week mark of all future releases based on HSX trading: http://www.hsxresearch.com/charts/future_release.jsp. This is the amount which HSX traders expect the movie to make in the domestic box office during its first 4 weeks of release.

"Year One"
Release Date: 6/19/09
Final Date: 7/17/09 (Friday)

The final date represents the final day the movie can collect box office receipts for the purposes of this question. Will "Year One" earn at least $62 million in the domestic box office by 7/17/09?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
1%
No
99%
Settled as No on Mon 13th Jul 2009 2:54pm PST

Suspend date: Fri 10th Jul 2009 5pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 13th Jul 2009 2:54pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 10th Jul 2009 5pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Mon 25th May 2009 12:41pm PST by tarpash
Suspended Fri 10th Jul 2009 5pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'No' Mon 13th Jul 2009 2:54pm PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: $41,192,481

Suspend date: Fri 10th Jul 2009 5pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 13th Jul 2009 2:54pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 10th Jul 2009 5pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (46)

36 weeks ago
jenniandboys[Admin] predicted No (H$10,000 at 98%)
37 weeks ago
rjrolsen predicted No (H$20 at 94%)
37 weeks ago
rhoan74 predicted No (H$260 at 92%)
38 weeks ago
chull predicted No (H$2,000 at 84%)
38 weeks ago
traceypeder predicted Yes (H$100 at 16%)

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