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HSX: Will "The Ugly Truth" earn at least $65m in the dom box office during first 4 weeks?

Settled as Yes

Background: Our friends over at HSX (Hollywood Stock Exchange) have a webpage which lists the 4 week mark of all future releases based on HSX trading: http://www.hsxresearch.com/charts/future_release.jsp. This is the amount which HSX traders expect the movie to make in the domestic box office during its first 4 weeks of release.

"The Ugly Truth"
Release Date: 7/24/09
Final Date: 8/21/09 (Friday)

The final date represents the final day the movie can collect box office receipts for the purposes of this question. Will "The Ugly Truth" earn at least $65 million in the domestic box office by 8/21/09?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
99%
No
1%
Settled as Yes on Mon 10th Aug 2:28pm PST

Suspend date: Fri 14th Aug 5pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 10th Aug 2:28pm PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Mon 25th May 12:45pm PST by tarpash
Settlement requested Mon 10th Aug 12:54pm PST by hfl13: $68,838,257

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=uglytruth.htm
Settled as 'Yes' Mon 10th Aug 2:28pm PST by jenniandboys[Admin]

Suspend date: Fri 14th Aug 5pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 10th Aug 2:28pm PST details

 

Predictions (48)

13 weeks ago
chull predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 98%)
15 weeks ago
lightningandthunder7 predicted Yes (H$100 at 62%)
15 weeks ago
jenniandboys[Admin] predicted No (H$1,000 at 37%)
17 weeks ago
jarrod predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 44%)
19 weeks ago
droppedelbow predicted No (H$82 at 53%)

Comments (1)

  1 hfl13

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