Created Wed 27th May 11:09am PST by

cjg999 Level 12, Guru (H$43,243)

North Korea Attacks! Will they attack a US or South Korean ship in 2009?

Background: North Korea has warned of military action in the coming days saying that the South Korean's act of joining the PSI was an act of war. This article quotes North Korea as alluding to an attack on warships in the region (http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/30935610/). Will they do it?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Yes

11%

89%

Question suspends in 7 weeks

Activity: H$60,037
Predictions: 69
Comments: 9

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (7 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 35%

Action history:

Created Wed 27th May 11:09am PST by

cjg999 Level 12, Guru (H$43,243)

Settlement requested Thu 30th Jul 5:19pm PST by

cjg999 Level 12, Guru (H$43,243)

: Does this constitute an attack? A NK military ship seized a SK fishing boat.
http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-fg-korea-tension30-2009jul30,0,5578793.story

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Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (7 weeks to go) details

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Predictions (69)

3 weeks ago

wagmaster2000 Level 5, Predictor (H$1,862)

predicted No (H$20 at 87%)

3 weeks ago

rgroh1 Level 8, Super-Pro (H$7,191)

predicted No (H$100 at 87%)

3 weeks ago

samnliberty Level 4, Whiz-kid (H$1,336)

predicted No (H$100 at 87%)

3 weeks ago

hayabusa143 Level 4, Whiz-kid (H$1,226)

predicted No (H$100 at 87%)

3 weeks ago

owlcreekobserver Level 10, Genius (H$12,328)

predicted Yes (H$100 at 20%)

Comments (9)

paddy112

What exactly constitutes an attack?

posted 20 weeks ago

coolkraft Level 14, Prophet (H$129,002)

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2009/06/19/military-set-intercept-north-korean-ship-suspected-proliferatin-missiles-nukes/

posted 20 weeks ago

sqlman [Admin]

An attack would be any North Korean action construed as such by the mainstream media: shots or missiles fired, rocks thrown, ramming or attempting to ram, etc.

posted 20 weeks ago

frogchop Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,632,109)

The first attack has occured... on the internet: http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090708/ap_on_go_ot/us_us_cyber_attack

posted 17 weeks ago

cjg999 Level 12, Guru (H$43,243)

But that was not a ship that was attacked.

posted 17 weeks ago

frogchop Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,632,109)

Obviously, it was meant as informational and humor, perhaps failing on both accounts.

posted 17 weeks ago

oppland Level 1, Newbie (H$41)

OMG! we are all going to die. I didn't want to do this...but now I'm going to have to spend all my saved up piggy bank money on a fallout shelter. Damn it all to hell.

posted 17 weeks ago

cjg999 Level 12, Guru (H$43,243)

Sorry frogchop - my humor radar was off that day.

posted 16 weeks ago

lola

(October 14th, 2009) SEOUL, South Korea (AP) -- North Korea warned South Korea of a possible naval clash Thursday, accusing Seoul of sending warships into its waters around their disputed western sea border. The South's "reckless military provocations" have created "such a serious situation that a naval clash may break out between the two sides in these waters," the North's navy said in a statement carried by the country's official Korean Central News Agency. North Korea has often issued similar warnings before, as it does not recognize the western sea border. The communist nation claims that the United Nations unilaterally drew the line at the end of the 1950-53 Korean War, and that it should be redrawn further south.

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/n/a/2009/10/14/international/i215357D56.DTL

posted 3 weeks ago