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Will North Korea launch another Long-range missile in 2009?

Background: According this article (http://www.cnn.com/2009/WORLD/asiapcf/05/29/nkorea.missile/index.html) there appears to be movement again. Will they launch another long-range missile (or satellite) this year?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
27%
No
73%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Fri 29th May 11:48am PST by cjg999

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (121)

20 hours ago
snem predicted No (H$5,000 at 69%)
1 day ago
joffi predicted No (H$50 at 65%)
2 days ago
sean1 predicted No (H$100 at 65%)
3 days ago
trashmagnet predicted No (H$50 at 64%)
3 days ago
yogi predicted No (H$100 at 64%)

Comments (3)

  1 pics4d
ok..i'm betting on this hoping that settlement will be backdated if they've already launched one between Q creation and now...i don't remember their last launch
posted 10 weeks ago
  2 cjg999
That was in April - prior to the Q creation.
posted 9 weeks ago
  3 jube
The only reason I'm thinking that they might do it again is that they're losing their spotlight again. People are beginning to focus on Iran once again, leaving me to believe that N Korea will probably act out like a small child again.
posted 7 weeks ago

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