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Will North Korea launch another Long-range missile in 2009?

Background: According this article (http://www.cnn.com/2009/WORLD/asiapcf/05/29/nkorea.missile/index.html) there appears to be movement again. Will they launch another long-range missile (or satellite) this year?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
49%
No
51%
Question suspends in 7 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (7 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Fri 29th May 11:48am PST by cjg999

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (7 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (95)

2 days ago
szklaneoko predicted Yes (H$300 at 51%)
6 days ago
barcher predicted No (H$50 at 48%)
1 week ago
frogchop predicted No (H$1,000 at 47%)
1 week ago
harlech predicted No (H$100 at 45%)
2 weeks ago
syne predicted No (H$50 at 45%)

Comments (3)

  1 pics4d
ok..i'm betting on this hoping that settlement will be backdated if they've already launched one between Q creation and now...i don't remember their last launch
posted 8 weeks ago
  2 cjg999
That was in April - prior to the Q creation.
posted 7 weeks ago
  3 jube
The only reason I'm thinking that they might do it again is that they're losing their spotlight again. People are beginning to focus on Iran once again, leaving me to believe that N Korea will probably act out like a small child again.
posted 5 weeks ago

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