
When will North Korea launch their next missile?
North Korea plans to aim a missile "toward Hawaii" in a few weeks*, but there haven't been any launches since this market was created.
http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5iURO8fOyWVOA0ytFlaAGuC9F7R9wD98T2J2O0
* - On a personal note, I'd like to say that A) Kim Jon Il and his spawn Kim Jong Sun are likely clinically insane, and B) if North Korea were a person, the likely psychiatric evaluation would be "paranoid/schizophrenic/bipolar sociopath with borderline personality disorder combined with megalomania and a strong self-destructive streak." If I met him in a bar, I'd try to avoid him, but if he pursued his provocation, I'd drag him out to the parking lot and beat him into submission. ;-)
Background:>
"SEOUL, South Korea - North Korea on Friday vowed to retaliate if punitive U.N. sanctions are imposed for its latest nuclear test, and U.S. officials said there are new signs Pyongyang may be planning more long-range missile launches.
With tensions rising, the communist nation punctuated its barrage of rhetoric with yet another short-range missile launch — the sixth this week.
Perhaps more significantly, officials in Washington said there are indications of increased activity at a site used to fire long-range missiles."
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
| During May |
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| June 1 - June 7 |
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| June 8 - 15 |
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| June 16 or later / never / other |
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- Activity: H$106,689 |
- Predictions: 272 |
Comments: 3
Suspend date: Tue 16th Jun 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 18th Jun 7:18am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 16th Jun 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: During May: 15%, June 1 - June 7: 37%, June 8 - 15: 33%, June 16 or later / never / other: 15%
Action history:
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,200036,00.html
http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5iURO8fOyWVOA0ytFlaAGuC9F7R9wD98T2J2O0
* - On a personal note, I'd like to say that A) Kim Jon Il and his spawn Kim Jong Sun are likely clinically insane, and B) if North Korea were a person, the likely psychiatric evaluation would be "paranoid/schizophrenic/bipolar sociopath with borderline personality disorder combined with megalomania and a strong self-destructive streak." If I met him in a bar, I'd try to avoid him, but if he pursued his provocation, I'd drag him out to the parking lot and beat him into submission. ;-)
Suspend date: Tue 16th Jun 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 18th Jun 7:18am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 16th Jun 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details
Predictions (272)
Comments (3)
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