Created Sat 30th May 8:29am PST by

How many Hubdub Gods (players with H$ 5,000,000 or more) will there be on December 31, 2009?

Background: As I write this, HubDub has 64 Seers - players with >250,000, 34 Oracles with H$ 500,000 or more, 14 Superdubbers with a net worth of 1 million or more and 6 Megadubbers/Uberdubbers (multi-millionaires). The ultimate level is Hubdub God, which requires a net worth of H$ 5,000,000. How many players will reach the exalted state of Hubdub God at 20:00 on December 31, 2009? The question will suspend 2 weeks before, on Dec 17th.

Settlement details:As per All Time Net Worth Leader Board on at 20:00 on December 31, 2009 http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=1

Forecast history %

1 - Orlin still all alone

2 - Monotheism is gone

3 - Three Gods is a crowd

4 - A Divine string quartet

95%

5 - A whole gaggle of Gods

6 or more - Heaven is jammed

Question suspends in 5 weeks

Activity: H$106,945
Predictions: 177
Comments: 2

Suspend date: Thu 17th Dec 8pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: 1 - Orlin still all alone: 10%, 2 - Monotheism is gone: 18%, 3 - Three Gods is a crowd: 22%, 4 - A Divine string quartet: 22%, 5 - A whole gaggle of Gods: 18%, 6 or more - Heaven is jammed: 10%

Action history:

Created Sat 30th May 8:29am PST by

tuff_sledding [Power User]

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