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How many Hubdub Gods (players with H$ 5,000,000 or more) will there be on December 31, 2009?
Background: As I write this, HubDub has 64 Seers - players with >250,000, 34 Oracles with H$ 500,000 or more, 14 Superdubbers with a net worth of 1 million or more and 6 Megadubbers/Uberdubbers (multi-millionaires). The ultimate level is Hubdub God, which requires a net worth of H$ 5,000,000. How many players will reach the exalted state of Hubdub God at 20:00 on December 31, 2009? The question will suspend 2 weeks before, on Dec 17th.
Settlement details:As per All Time Net Worth Leader Board on at 20:00 on December 31, 2009 http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=1
Forecast history %
| 1 - Orlin still all alone |
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| 2 - Monotheism is gone |
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| 3 - Three Gods is a crowd |
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| 4 - A Divine string quartet |
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| 5 - A whole gaggle of Gods |
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| 6 or more - Heaven is jammed |
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Question suspends in 3 weeks
- Activity: H$153,306 |
- Predictions: 234 |
Comments: 5
Suspend date: Thu 17th Dec 8pm PST (3 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: 1 - Orlin still all alone: 10%, 2 - Monotheism is gone: 18%, 3 - Three Gods is a crowd: 22%, 4 - A Divine string quartet: 22%, 5 - A whole gaggle of Gods: 18%, 6 or more - Heaven is jammed: 10%
Action history:
Suspend date: Thu 17th Dec 8pm PST (3 weeks to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (234)
toad
predicted 4 - A Divine string quartet (H$500 at 91%)
bigken1
predicted 2 - Monotheism is gone (H$200 at 1%)
bipedprimate
predicted 3 - Three Gods is a crowd (H$50 at 19%)Comments (5)
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