Created Sat 30th May 8:29am PST by

How many Hubdub Gods (players with H$ 5,000,000 or more) will there be on December 31, 2009?

Background: As I write this, HubDub has 64 Seers - players with >250,000, 34 Oracles with H$ 500,000 or more, 14 Superdubbers with a net worth of 1 million or more and 6 Megadubbers/Uberdubbers (multi-millionaires). The ultimate level is Hubdub God, which requires a net worth of H$ 5,000,000. How many players will reach the exalted state of Hubdub God at 20:00 on December 31, 2009? The question will suspend 2 weeks before, on Dec 17th.

Settlement details:As per All Time Net Worth Leader Board on at 20:00 on December 31, 2009 http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=1

Forecast history %

1 - Orlin still all alone

2 - Monotheism is gone

3 - Three Gods is a crowd

4 - A Divine string quartet

91%

5 - A whole gaggle of Gods

6 or more - Heaven is jammed

Question suspends in 3 weeks

Activity: H$142,031
Predictions: 224
Comments: 4

Suspend date: Thu 17th Dec 8pm PST (3 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: 1 - Orlin still all alone: 10%, 2 - Monotheism is gone: 18%, 3 - Three Gods is a crowd: 22%, 4 - A Divine string quartet: 22%, 5 - A whole gaggle of Gods: 18%, 6 or more - Heaven is jammed: 10%

Action history:

Created Sat 30th May 8:29am PST by

tuff_sledding [Power User]

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Suspend date: Thu 17th Dec 8pm PST (3 weeks to go) details

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Predictions (224)

6 days ago

bipedprimate Level 10, Genius (H$10,004)

predicted 3 - Three Gods is a crowd (H$50 at 19%)

6 days ago

bigken1 Level 15, Seer (H$358,666)

predicted 2 - Monotheism is gone (H$100 at 1%)

6 days ago

bigken1 Level 15, Seer (H$358,666)

predicted 3 - Three Gods is a crowd (H$1,000 at 27%)

6 days ago

pitchedoutsideleg Level 18, Megadubber (H$2,575,558)

predicted 3 - Three Gods is a crowd (H$600 at 20%)

1 week ago

bigken1 Level 15, Seer (H$358,666)

predicted 3 - Three Gods is a crowd (H$3,000 at 49%)

Comments (4)

ghostbuster Level 12, Guru (H$33,573)

Keeping my head down, staying focused,see you there.

posted 7 weeks ago

hfl13

Go Elly ! Go randburg !

posted 3 weeks ago

bipedprimate Level 10, Genius (H$10,004)

Elly needs to maintain pretty much the same pace as for the quarter so far for the rest of the quarter in order to break 5 million. If, for example, she averaged over the 2nd half of the quarter only 10% less than the 1st half, she would fall short of 5 million.

posted 1 week ago

ghostbuster Level 12, Guru (H$33,573)

Elly could put the lot on any team beating the "Maple Leafs" It's called "Sh*t or bust" ( actually, It's usually called "A Dead Cert" when the Griefs are involved)

posted 1 week ago