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Will Justice Sotomayor describe herself as pro-choice?

Settled as Does Not Specify

Background: Abortion rights supporters and opponents alike are worried there are not enough clues in Sonia Sotomayor’s background to determine how she would vote on the question as a Supreme Court justice — and they are calling on the Senate to solve the mystery. But Sotomayor, President Obama’s nomination to become a Supreme Court justice, is not likely to tip her hand, either in private meetings with lawmakers beginning June 2 or at her Senate Judiciary Committee confirmation hearing this summer.

The seesawing balance on the high court around its seminal 1973 decision in Roe v. Wade has made abortion a major topic at every Supreme Court confirmation hearing since Sandra Day O’Connor appeared before the committee in 1981. But like other nominees before her, Sotomayor could employ several strategies to avoid giving a direct answer to a particular question that would reveal whether she would vote to overturn Roe, or even substantially restrict abortion rights. It will be easy for her to avoid revealing too much in part because her inquisitors, mindful that they can’t be seen as trying to extract any pledges from Sotomayor, probably will ask only indirect questions about settled law and privacy rights.

http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=news-000003126913

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. While Justice Sotomayor may not address this issue directly, if she does comment on how she would vote on any challenge to ROE v. WADE that answer can and will be used to settle this question.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
6%
No
2%
Does Not Specify
93%
Settled as Does Not Specify on Tue 28th Jul 12:29am PST

Suspend date: Sun 30th Aug 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 28th Jul 12:29am PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 34%, No: 33%, Does Not Specify: 33%

Action history:

Created Sat 30th May 8:50am PST by lola
Settlement requested Tue 28th Jul 12:05am PST by tarpash: I don't know how this should settle. She did say in the hearings that she does not support the overturning of Roe.
Settled as 'Does Not Specify' Tue 28th Jul 12:29am PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Sun 30th Aug 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 28th Jul 12:29am PST details

 

Predictions (68)

18 weeks ago
bobdevine predicted Does Not Specify (H$2,222 at 86%)
18 weeks ago
rhino predicted Does Not Specify (H$100 at 83%)
18 weeks ago
frogchop predicted Does Not Specify (H$1,500 at 67%)
22 weeks ago
horsefeathers predicted Does Not Specify (H$500 at 76%)
24 weeks ago
tgallag2 predicted Yes (H$50 at 29%)

Comments (3)

does this really need a 3rd option? it is just confusing....

does not specify is a 'no' to answer the question...
posted 24 weeks ago
  2 lola
My thinking was that lawyers and judges are linguists first and foremost and it would be rhetorical child's play for Justice Sotomeyer to appear on both or neither side of this contentious and divisive issue simultaneously -- which would necessitate the DOES NOT SPECIFY option. Isn't linguistic ambiguity grand! :-)
posted 24 weeks ago
  3 frogchop
Yep, she'll tap dance all around the issue, just like Alito and Roberts did.
posted 24 weeks ago

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