Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
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Will first page HB Oracles beat Oracle CEO Ellison in "earnings" during 2009?

Background: Question is asking whether the "net worth" as expressed on the Leaderboard at 5pm CST on 12/31/08 for the Top 20 Hubdubbers will be more than the compensation that Oracle CEO Lawrence J. Ellison will pull down for 2009. In 2008 he took in a cool $84.6M, or about double what the Top 20 Hubdubbers have "in the bank" right now, not quite 1/2 way through the year.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
30%
No
70%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Sun 31st May 3:17pm PST by valornhonor

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (23)

8 weeks ago
frogchop predicted No (H$2,500 at 72%)
13 weeks ago
pitchedoutsideleg predicted No (H$10,000 at 61%)
20 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted No (H$200 at 51%)
21 weeks ago
lcsnor predicted No (H$250 at 56%)
22 weeks ago
frogchop predicted No (H$50 at 56%)

Comments (2)

  1 dieseldog
long time no see valhonor. welcome back..hope all is well.
posted 24 weeks ago
I missed this before, but I think the date is wrong in the background - should be 09, not 08.
Second, what all is counted in his compensation? Pay and awarded options are obvious, but execs get other perks. Then there is the issue of valuating the awarded options and the value of exercised options. This could get a bit tricky.
It's a clever question, I like the idea, but it would help to get some more clarity ahead of time....
posted 20 weeks ago

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