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Will supporters of traditional marriage succeed in overturning Maine's gay-marriage law in 2009?

Settled as Yes

Background: The legislature and governor of Maine have enacted a law authorizing same-sex marriage as of mid-September 2009. Opponents of the new law have launched a campaign to put a "people's veto" on the November ballot. If they succeed, Maine's same-sex-marriage law will be voided.

To get on the ballot, opponents need 55,087 signatures of registered Maine voters. To get on the ballot this year, they need to submit those signatures by early August.

More information is available from these groups:

http://www.mainemarriageinitiative.com Maine Marriage Initiative (supporters of traditional marriage)

http://www.equalitymaine.org Equality Maine (supporters of new law)

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
51%
No; it doesn't come to a public vote in 2009.
3%
No; voters uphold the gay-marriage law.
46%
Settled as Yes on Wed 4th Nov 10:21am PST

Suspend date: Tue 3rd Nov 3pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 4th Nov 10:21am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 3rd Nov 3pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 45%, No; it doesn't come to a public vote in 2009.: 10%, No; voters uphold the gay-marriage law.: 45%

Action history:

Created Fri 5th Jun 6:46am PST by mvguy
Suspended Tue 3rd Nov 3pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Wed 4th Nov 7:42am PST by mvguy: Traditional-marriage supporters have succeeded:

http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/politics/2010196581_apusgaymarriageanalysis.html

Thanks!
Settled as 'Yes' Wed 4th Nov 10:21am PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Tue 3rd Nov 3pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 4th Nov 10:21am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 3rd Nov 3pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (71)

2 weeks ago
egalloway predicted No; voters uphold the gay-marriage law. (H$50 at 46%)
2 weeks ago
tr_966 predicted No; voters uphold the gay-marriage law. (H$100 at 45%)
2 weeks ago
notablenotices[Power User] predicted Yes (H$100 at 43%)
2 weeks ago
pitchedoutsideleg predicted No; voters uphold the gay-marriage law. (H$1,000 at 43%)
2 weeks ago
steveb predicted Yes (H$100 at 58%)

Comments (5)

  1 frank2877
PORTLAND, Maine (BP)--Maine's citizens apparently will get to decide the future of "gay marriage" in November.

A coalition that is collecting signatures to place on the ballot a "People's Veto" initiative overturning the state's "gay marriage" said Wednesday they have passed the critical threshold of 55,000 signatures -- the number required to qualify the effort -- just four weeks after starting.

http://townhall.com/news/religion/2009/07/08/attempt_to_reverse_maine_gay_marriage_law_passes_signature_threshold
posted 18 weeks ago
  2 mvguy
New poll suggests this is very close:
http://www.seacoastonline.com/articles/20090919-NEWS-909190323
posted 9 weeks ago
I'm nitpicking here, I admit, but my partner and I have been together for 28 years, monogamous, loving, sharing, devoted and accepting full responsibility for the well-being of each other. We took vows to that effect all those years ago and have lived up to them 100%. Isn't THAT "traditional marriage"?

Oh, wait! You're right. "Traditional Marriages" DO tend to end long before 28 years have passed. Oops! Sorry!
posted 3 weeks ago
Isn't THAT "traditional marriage"?

No it is not! Marriage's definition has never been about love, sharing, monogamy, devotion, responsibility... if it were, all those marriage counselors would be out of business and perhaps even doing honest work! While these qualities are highly desirable in a marriage, they are not the definition - and never have been.

This is about the destruction of the English language. This group has been responsible for redefining "gay", "fag", "rainbow", "bugger", and many more - all words with perfectly legitimate meanings that have come to be commandeered by a hate group that has made a hobby of redefining words.

It is time to tell them - if you need a new word for something, GET YOUR OWN WORD FOR IT! Leave the definition of marriage (and other words) alone.
posted 3 weeks ago
  5 lola
During the Roman Empire it was illegal to marry someone else from another nation.

For many centuries it was illegal to marry someone from another religion.

Until 1967 it was illegal in some US states to marry someone from another race.

In many places today it is illegal for two people of the same gender to marry.

What we see over time is the incredible power of love to transcend differences and divisions between people despite such potent divisors as nationality, religion, ethnicity and gender.
posted 3 weeks ago

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