Created Mon 8th Jun 2009 1:31am PST by

lesley [Admin]

Will Susan Boyle last the distance on the Britain's Got Talent Tour?

Settled as No

Susan Boyle -- you may remember her as a singer, or someone who very, very recently almost had an entire mental breakdown -- pulled out of tonight's "Britain's Got Talent" tour performance in Manchester. Officials are saying that Boyle's absence is nothing more than a "one off rest day."

Boyle has already performed three times on tour. That means she's only worked to the point of insanity 25% of the time.
http://www.tmz.com/2009/06/14/susan-boyle-gets-exhausted-again/

Background:

Background: The Britain's Got Talent Tour kicks off in Birmingham this Friday. It then runs the length and breadth of the country before finishing Sunday July 5th in Bournemouth.

Given that Susan is only just out of rehab for "exhaustion", what are the chances of her being able to perform at all the shows (currently there are 24 scheduled shows, but that may change).

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. This will settle as No if Susan is unable to perform one or more of the shows. If one of the dates is cancelled, that wouldn't affect the outcome.

Forecast history %

Yes

34%

66%

Settled as No on Sun 14th Jun 2009 11:42am PST

Activity: H$65,773
Predictions: 117
Comments: 5

Suspend date: Fri 19th Jun 2009 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 14th Jun 2009 11:42am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 14th Jun 2009 7am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Mon 8th Jun 2009 1:31am PST by

lesley [Admin]

Suspended Sun 14th Jun 2009 10:59am PST by

jenniandboys [Admin]

Settled as 'No' Sun 14th Jun 2009 11:42am PST by

jenniandboys [Admin]

: Susan Boyle -- you may remember her as a singer, or someone who very, very recently almost had an entire mental breakdown -- pulled out of tonight's "Britain's Got Talent" tour performance in Manchester. Officials are saying that Boyle's absence is nothing more than a "one off rest day."

Boyle has already performed three times on tour. That means she's only worked to the point of insanity 25% of the time.
http://www.tmz.com/2009/06/14/susan-boyle-gets-exhausted-again/

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Predictions (117)

39 weeks ago

ieujam1 Level 15, Seer (H$330,507)

predicted No (H$1,151 at 67%)

39 weeks ago

baggieboy Level 14, Prophet (H$103,396)

predicted No (H$1,500 at 64%)

39 weeks ago

ieujam1 Level 15, Seer (H$330,507)

predicted No (H$5,000 at 57%)

40 weeks ago

pitchedoutsideleg [Power User]

predicted Yes (H$2,000 at 46%)

40 weeks ago

kevin

predicted Yes (H$100 at 41%)

Comments (5)

randburg Level 20, Hubdub God (H$5,893,413)

Wow, we are really divided about this question. I guess there is a lot to be divided about. She has already cracked under the strain at least twice (that the public knows about), and yet she is so gifted. We wish her well.

posted 40 weeks ago

frogchop Level 18, Megadubber (H$2,717,140)

'tis easier to mend the flesh than the heart and mind. It's likely the only reason we hadn't heard of her before BGT was because a history of anxiety standing in the way. Hopefully she can get the help she needs to take the next step, but I question whether it's wise to push her into the spotlight after her recent bout. Seems like they're potentially risking her future by expecting so much so quickly.

posted 40 weeks ago

randburg Level 20, Hubdub God (H$5,893,413)

You've described the situation well...

posted 40 weeks ago

dieseldog Level 16, Oracle (H$730,449)

frogchop is wise beyond his years. ditto at what randburg said. reports i've read said simon isn't gonna push her. lets hope the mighty dollar/euro don't influence others to.

posted 40 weeks ago