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How many seats will be won by Independents at The next UK General Election

Background: Two independent or minor party MPs were elected in the last (2005) UK general election: Peter Law (MP for Blaenau Gwent), who died on April 25, 2006, and Richard Taylor, for the Wyre Forest constituency). Dr Richard Taylor's election to Parliament is most notable for the fact that he is the only independent in recent times to have been re-elected for a second term. Since Peter Law's death, the by-election has yielded another independent MP - Dai Davies. News reporter Martin Bell was elected as an Independent MP for Tatton from 1997 to 2001 having stood on an anti-corruption platform.
Terry Waite could stand as an independent candidate at the next general election after blasting the two main parties amid the MPs’ expenses scandal.The former Beirut hostage launched a scathing attack on the political system as he branded Labour and the Tories 'moribund'.

Mr Waite, 69, said independent MPs had a vital role to play in helping to reform Parliament as public anger and outrage rises.
He admitted he could be part of the 'revolution' by joining the likes of Martin Bell and Esther Rantzen as maverick candidates

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
None
19%
1-3
40%
4-6
17%
7-9
8%
10-15
6%
16-25
4%
26-35
3%
36-45
2%
More than 46
1%
Question suspends in 27 weeks

Suspend date: Mon 31st May 2010 3pm PST (27 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: None: 5%, 1-3: 18%, 4-6: 20%, 7-9: 18%, 10-15: 15%, 16-25: 10%, 26-35: 6%, 36-45: 5%, More than 46: 3%

Action history:

Created Thu 11th Jun 1:34pm PST by wwwifabz

Suspend date: Mon 31st May 2010 3pm PST (27 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (18)

1 week ago
casehandler predicted 1-3 (H$20 at 40%)
3 weeks ago
oocares predicted 4-6 (H$20 at 16%)
4 weeks ago
kashifkhan predicted 4-6 (H$100 at 15%)
4 weeks ago
kashifkhan predicted 4-6 (H$100 at 14%)
4 weeks ago
scary predicted 4-6 (H$100 at 12%)

Comments (1)

the more independents elected, the better it will be for the country.
posted 4 weeks ago

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