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Will North Korea conduct another nuclear test by August 31?

Settled as No

Didn't happen...

Background:

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
4%
No
96%
Settled as No on Tue 1st Sep 4:03am PST

Suspend date: Thu 20th Aug 2pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 1st Sep 4:03am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 20th Aug 2pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 68%

Action history:

Created Thu 11th Jun 10:50pm PST by tarpash
Suspended Thu 20th Aug 2pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Mon 31st Aug 10:50pm PST by nyharel: date reached, no test
Settled as 'No' Tue 1st Sep 4:03am PST by sqlman[Admin]: Didn't happen...

Suspend date: Thu 20th Aug 2pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 1st Sep 4:03am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 20th Aug 2pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (261)

13 weeks ago
joffi predicted Yes (H$20 at 4%)
13 weeks ago
ejayz predicted No (H$1,000 at 96%)
13 weeks ago
joepamphilon predicted Yes (H$50 at 4%)
14 weeks ago
jgardner100 predicted No (H$60 at 96%)
14 weeks ago
nyharel predicted No (H$100 at 93%)

Comments (3)

  1 autotom
i think they will.. but i'm voting no because if they do.. fml someone put the batters back in the doomsday clock.
strap in for another war.. hot or cold.
posted 23 weeks ago
Cold. NK is not up for martyrdom. Islamistic states might, though...
posted 22 weeks ago
  3 oocares
No, but they will launch a new beer. Anyone for a pint of Taedonggang?
.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/asia-pacific/8132199.stm
posted 20 weeks ago

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