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Will Sen. Jim Bunning run for reelection in Kentucky?

Settled as No

Background: http://www.politico.com/blogs/scorecard/0509/Bunning_calls_McConnell_a_control_freak.html

http://www.politico.com/blogs/scorecard/0609/The_Ron_Paul_revolution_.html

One of the most interesting 2010 Senate races to watch early on is Kentucky's. There, incumbent Republican Senator Jim Bunning has raised negligible amounts of money comapared to his Senate colleagues who stand for reelection in 2010. He has also called Senate Minority Leader, and fellow Kentuckian, Mitch McConnell a "control freak." McConnell has shown no love back, by recently refusing to endorse Bunning for 2010. At one point earlier this year, Bunning even threatened to drop out of the Republican party if they didn't help him more with fundraising. See related market here: http://www.hubdub.com/m33975/Will_Senator_Jim_Bunning_resign_from_the_Republican_Party_before_July_4_2009

Bunning has danced around the issue of reelection. Will he be the official Republican candidate in 2010?

Note: suspend date is not fixed. It can be moved forward depending on when Bunning makes it official or drops out.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
50%
No
50%
Settled as No on Sun 1st Nov 1:07pm PST

Suspend date: Sun 15th Nov 11am PST (1 week to go)
Settlement date: Sun 1st Nov 1:07pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 27th Jul 2pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Thu 11th Jun 11:34pm PST by tarpash
Settlement requested Sun 1st Nov 1:02pm PST by bob_loblaw: bunning dropped out here are a bunch of msm news articles that say so

http://news.google.com/archivesearch?q=bunning+dropped+out&scoring=a&hl=en&ned=us&um=1&sa=N&cid=4418731073601688
Settled as 'No' Sun 1st Nov 1:07pm PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Sun 15th Nov 11am PST (1 week to go)
Settlement date: Sun 1st Nov 1:07pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 27th Jul 2pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (16)

4 weeks ago
bob_loblaw predicted No (H$140 at 73%)
10 weeks ago
csykes predicted Yes (H$777 at 24%)
10 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted No (H$2,000 at 76%)
10 weeks ago
frogchop predicted No (H$5,000 at 72%)
13 weeks ago
chloeburns predicted No (H$100 at 67%)

Comments (1)

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