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Who will be the leader of the UK Labour Party by January 1st 2010?

Background: Over recent weeks Gordon Brown's leadership seems to have been under immense pressure, and although things have calmed down, the plotters and pressure may not have been put fully to bed.

Therefore, will Gordon Brown remain the leader of the Labour party by 1st January 2010 or will he be replaced?

Settlement details:As reported by the BBC News Website.

 
Forecast history %
Gordon Brown
86%
David Miliband
8%
Alan Johnson
2%
Harriet Harman
1%
Any Other
3%
No Leader.
1%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Fri 1st Jan 2010 7:59am PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Gordon Brown: 18%, David Miliband: 18%, Alan Johnson: 18%, Harriet Harman: 18%, Any Other : 18%, No Leader.: 10%

Action history:

Created Sat 13th Jun 7:25am PST by ljhughes

Suspend date: Fri 1st Jan 2010 7:59am PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (45)

4 days ago
ricey predicted Gordon Brown (H$727 at 85%)
4 days ago
robbie predicted Gordon Brown (H$1,000 at 82%)
1 week ago
casehandler predicted Alan Johnson (H$20 at 3%)
1 week ago
chinadoll predicted Gordon Brown (H$50 at 79%)
1 week ago
ojw15 predicted David Miliband (H$500 at 6%)

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