Created Sun 14th Jun 6:36am PST by

Will Mir Hossein Moussavi be exiled or go into self-exile?

Settled as No

He's more a man than a mous(savi): he's still in Iran, threats and all.

Background:

Background: Ahmadinejad has cautioned his main challenger in the Iranian elections Mir Hossein Moussavi that he cannot ensure his safety. With that warning, for now it seems Mir Hossein Moussavi and his supporters aren't stepping down from protesting the Iranian election, but if things get too hot and heavy Mir Hossein Moussavi may be forced to leave Iran for fear of his life.

This market suspends at the end of June, therefore to settle as yes Mir Hossein Moussavi must have announced his exile or already be in exile.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Yes

98%

Settled as No on Wed 1st Jul 4:49am PST

Activity: H$68,547
Predictions: 47
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Tue 30th Jun 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 1st Jul 4:49am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 30th Jun 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 25%

Action history:

Created Sun 14th Jun 6:36am PST by

ryanj

Suspended Tue 30th Jun 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Wed 1st Jul 3:25am PST by