Created Tue 16th Jun 3:08am PST by 
ronando
ronando How far will asking prices in Ireland fall between June 2008 and June 2009?
Background: The daft.ie House Price Report (daft.ie/report) is issued in the first fortnight of each quarter. Its Q1'09 report showed that asking prices fell over 16% year-on year, compared to 14.7%, 10.7% and 7.1% in previous quarters.
How far will house prices have fallen in the year to end-June 2009?
How far will house prices have fallen in the year to end-June 2009?
Settlement details:As reported in the Residential Sales Asking Price Index, on http://daft.ie/report, with the percentage rounded to two decimal places.
Forecast history %
| A fall of 9% or less (or a rise) |
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| A fall of between 9.01% and 12% |
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| A fall of between 12.01% and 15% |
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| A fall of between 15.01% and 18% |
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| A fall of between 18.01% and 21% |
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| A fall of greater than 21% |
|
Question suspends in 1 year
- Activity: H$5,000 |
- Predictions: 5 |
Comments: 0
Suspend date: Fri 15th Jul 2011 3:59pm PST (1 year to go)
Initial likelihoods: A fall of 9% or less (or a rise): 5%, A fall of between 9.01% and 12%: 10%, A fall of between 12.01% and 15%: 25%, A fall of between 15.01% and 18%: 30%, A fall of between 18.01% and 21%: 25%, A fall of greater than 21%: 5%
Action history:
Created Tue 16th Jun 3:08am PST by ronando
ronando 
Suspend date: Fri 15th Jul 2011 3:59pm PST (1 year to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (5)
charlesf
predicted A fall of between 18.01% and 21% (H$1,000 at 44%)
ftseer
predicted A fall of between 12.01% and 15% (H$250 at 23%)Comments (0)
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