Created Wed 17th Jun 3:46pm PST by

buckeyetom Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,701,610)

Will another Republican member of Congress be involved in a sex scandal in 2009?

Background: Republican Senator John Ensign (NV) has just admitted to having an affair with a woman on his political payroll last year. Ensign is a religious conservative who said, "Last year I had an affair. I violated the vows of my marriage. It is the worst thing I have ever done in my life,"

Records actually show there also was a report of a previous affair, in 2002, an indication that the drip, drip of dalliance details may only just be beginning.

So what does the Republican Party have on tap for the rest of 2009?

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090617/ap_on_an/us_gop_ensign_analysis

Involved means being a party to sexual act which becomes publicized, for example if a event similar to what happened to John Edwards is publicized regarding a GOP congressmen the market would settle.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Yes

34%

66%

Question suspends in 5 weeks

Activity: H$50,810
Predictions: 91
Comments: 7

Suspend date: Wed 30th Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Wed 17th Jun 3:46pm PST by

buckeyetom Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,701,610)

Suspended Wed 17th Jun 8:59pm PST by

notablenotices [Power User]

: Flagged by super user: Senator John Ensign (the example given) was never cited.

This leaves the question open to too much interpretation.

Changed Question text Thu 18th Jun 6:03am PST by

ryanj

: show details

... Republican member of Congress be ~~cited~~involved in a sex scandal in

Changed Description Thu 18th Jun 6:04am PST by

ryanj

: show details

... ever done in my life~~," <~~," Records actually show ... may only just be beginning~~. <~~. So what does ... /ap/20090617/ap_on_an/us_gop_ensign_analysis</a>> Involved means being a party to sexual act which becomes publicized, for example if a event similar to what happened to John Edwards is publicized regarding a GOP congressmen the market would settle.

Unsuspended Thu 18th Jun 6:06am PST by

ryanj

: Market edited to make market settlement easier. Involved means being a party to sexual act which becomes publicized, for example if a event similar to what happened to John Edwards is publicized regarding a GOP congressmen the market would settle.

hide

Suspend date: Wed 30th Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

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Predictions (91)

14 hours ago

anderzen Level 4, Whiz-kid (H$1,396)

predicted Yes (H$50 at 34%)

1 day ago

craig814 Level 11, Legend (H$19,248)

predicted Yes (H$50 at 34%)

1 day ago

frogchop Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,680,436)

predicted No (H$5,000 at 56%)

2 days ago

danallen2 Level 3, Apprentice (H$1,121)

predicted No (H$30 at 51%)

3 weeks ago

dodobird Level 7, Pro (H$4,290)

predicted No (H$576 at 50%)

Comments (7)

buckeyetom Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,701,610)

Notablenotices:
Cited means "Mentioned in the records". Relax about your Republican party. Quit doing stupid Flags!

posted 22 weeks ago

frogchop Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,680,436)

Glad you clarified in the background what constituted a sex scandal, because it's clear congress has been screwing all of us for years. :-p

posted 22 weeks ago

candelario Level 9, Expert (H$9,904)

NN -- how much are you willing to put on "no"?

posted 22 weeks ago

conspiracy2riot Level 14, Prophet (H$100,047)

He is like any other generic conservative. Blows alot of smoke but most likely doesn't put his $ where his mouth is....Republicans tend to save that space for other things....

BTW....Great Q buckeye....

posted 22 weeks ago