Created Wed 17th Jun 2009 3:46pm PST by

buckeyetom Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,708,678)

Will another Republican member of Congress be involved in a sex scandal in 2009?

Settled as No

Background: Republican Senator John Ensign (NV) has just admitted to having an affair with a woman on his political payroll last year. Ensign is a religious conservative who said, "Last year I had an affair. I violated the vows of my marriage. It is the worst thing I have ever done in my life,"

Records actually show there also was a report of a previous affair, in 2002, an indication that the drip, drip of dalliance details may only just be beginning.

So what does the Republican Party have on tap for the rest of 2009?

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090617/ap_on_an/us_gop_ensign_analysis

Involved means being a party to sexual act which becomes publicized, for example if a event similar to what happened to John Edwards is publicized regarding a GOP congressmen the market would settle.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Yes

97%

Settled as No on Thu 31st Dec 2009 9:09pm PST

Activity: H$95,246
Predictions: 128
Comments: 7

Suspend date: Wed 30th Dec 2009 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 9:09pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 30th Dec 2009 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Wed 17th Jun 2009 3:46pm PST by

buckeyetom Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,708,678)

Suspended Wed 17th Jun 2009 8:59pm PST by

notablenotices [Power User]

: Flagged by super user: Senator John Ensign (the example given) was never cited.

This leaves the question open to too much interpretation.

Changed Question text Thu 18th Jun 2009 6:03am PST by

ryanj

: show details

... Republican member of Congress be ~~cited~~involved in a sex scandal in

Changed Description Thu 18th Jun 2009 6:04am PST by

ryanj

: show details

... ever done in my life~~," <~~," Records actually show ... may only just be beginning~~. <~~. So what does ... /ap/20090617/ap_on_an/us_gop_ensign_analysis</a>> Involved means being a party to sexual act which becomes publicized, for example if a event similar to what happened to John Edwards is publicized regarding a GOP congressmen the market would settle.

Unsuspended Thu 18th Jun 2009 6:06am PST by

ryanj

: Market edited to make market settlement easier. Involved means being a party to sexual act which becomes publicized, for example if a event similar to what happened to John Edwards is publicized regarding a GOP congressmen the market would settle.

Suspended Wed 30th Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settled as 'No' Thu 31st Dec 2009 9:09pm PST by

destry [Admin]

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Predictions (128)

12 weeks ago

majorgeeky Level 10, Genius (H$11,164)

predicted No (H$100 at 94%)

13 weeks ago

schenz Level 12, Guru (H$27,469)

predicted No (H$1,400 at 85%)

13 weeks ago

keyeshoveden [Power User]

predicted No (H$6,000 at 82%)

13 weeks ago

carpet Level 11, Legend (H$20,449)

predicted No (H$200 at 79%)

14 weeks ago

neverlupus Level 11, Legend (H$18,657)

predicted No (H$100 at 73%)

Comments (7)

buckeyetom Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,708,678)

Notablenotices:
Cited means "Mentioned in the records". Relax about your Republican party. Quit doing stupid Flags!

posted 39 weeks ago

frogchop Level 18, Megadubber (H$2,716,055)

Glad you clarified in the background what constituted a sex scandal, because it's clear congress has been screwing all of us for years. :-p

posted 39 weeks ago

candelario Level 9, Expert (H$9,793)

NN -- how much are you willing to put on "no"?

posted 39 weeks ago

conspiracy2riot Level 13, Psychic (H$94,932)

He is like any other generic conservative. Blows alot of smoke but most likely doesn't put his $ where his mouth is....Republicans tend to save that space for other things....

BTW....Great Q buckeye....

posted 39 weeks ago