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Will another Republican member of Congress be involved in a sex scandal in 2009?

Background: Republican Senator John Ensign (NV) has just admitted to having an affair with a woman on his political payroll last year. Ensign is a religious conservative who said, "Last year I had an affair. I violated the vows of my marriage. It is the worst thing I have ever done in my life,"

Records actually show there also was a report of a previous affair, in 2002, an indication that the drip, drip of dalliance details may only just be beginning.

So what does the Republican Party have on tap for the rest of 2009?

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090617/ap_on_an/us_gop_ensign_analysis

Involved means being a party to sexual act which becomes publicized, for example if a event similar to what happened to John Edwards is publicized regarding a GOP congressmen the market would settle.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
34%
No
66%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 30th Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Wed 17th Jun 3:46pm PST by buckeyetom
Suspended Wed 17th Jun 8:59pm PST by notablenotices[Power User]: Flagged by super user: Senator John Ensign (the example given) was never cited.

This leaves the question open to too much interpretation.
Unsuspended Thu 18th Jun 6:06am PST by ryanj: Market edited to make market settlement easier. Involved means being a party to sexual act which becomes publicized, for example if a event similar to what happened to John Edwards is publicized regarding a GOP congressmen the market would settle.

Suspend date: Wed 30th Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (91)

14 hours ago
anderzen predicted Yes (H$50 at 34%)
1 day ago
craig814 predicted Yes (H$50 at 34%)
1 day ago
frogchop predicted No (H$5,000 at 56%)
2 days ago
danallen2 predicted No (H$30 at 51%)
3 weeks ago
dodobird predicted No (H$576 at 50%)

Comments (7)

Notablenotices:
Cited means "Mentioned in the records". Relax about your Republican party. Quit doing stupid Flags!
posted 22 weeks ago
  2 frogchop
Glad you clarified in the background what constituted a sex scandal, because it's clear congress has been screwing all of us for years. :-p
posted 22 weeks ago
NN -- how much are you willing to put on "no"?
posted 22 weeks ago
He is like any other generic conservative. Blows alot of smoke but most likely doesn't put his $ where his mouth is....Republicans tend to save that space for other things....

BTW....Great Q buckeye....
posted 22 weeks ago
  5 emmag
It's only a matter of time....days, hours, minutes, seconds. The Grand Old Party is now GO-P.
posted 22 weeks ago
Oh this is SO the year of the Grand Ole Penis Party. And yet....it's not like their re-inventing themselves...just biz as usual....
posted 21 weeks ago
  7 dnicolo1
What about our "Great" Democrats? You mean to say that they clear of any "Hanky Panky"? I think not.
posted 6 weeks ago

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