Who will win the 2009 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?

Settled as Joey Chestnut

Joey Chesnut defends title, sets world record with 68 dogs

http://www.nydailynews.com/ny_local/2009/07/04/2009-07-04_nathans_.html

Background:

Background: The 94th annual Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest, held July 4th in Coney Island, will feature two-time defending champion Joey Chestnut against six-time champion Takeru Kobayashi, along with others.

Last year Chestnut and Kobayashi were tied at 59 hot dogs and buns at the end of the 10-minute contest. To settle the contest, an overtime round was held where Chestnut beat Kobayashi by finishing off five hot dogs and buns in shorter amount of time.
http://www.nathansfamous.com/PageFetch/getpage.php?pgid=38

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Joey Chestnut

49%

Takeru Kobayashi

36%

Tim 'Eater X' Janus

The Field (person not listed above)

Settled as Joey Chestnut on Sun 5th Jul 10:55am PST

Activity: H$7,041
Predictions: 30
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Sat 4th Jul 8am PST
Settlement date: Sun 5th Jul 10:55am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 4th Jul 8am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Joey Chestnut: 40%, Takeru Kobayashi: 40%, Tim 'Eater X' Janus: 10%, The Field (person not listed above): 10%

Action history:

Created Wed 17th Jun 7:58pm PST by

sdchargers [Power User]

Suspended Sat 4th Jul 8am PST : Suspend date reached

Settled as 'Joey Chestnut' Sun 5th Jul 10:55am PST by